GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Jayden TillmanD, 15. Young for the league, SteadyGatineau OlympiquesQMJHL–60.33+12%40%25%7%Long shot?
2Enzo RoyD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBaie-Comeau DrakkarQMJHL–110.18+44%29%25%7%Long shot?
3Nathan FrostD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyCharlottetown IslandersQMJHL–90.33+2%25%15%2%Long shot?
4William DubéD, 17. Playmaker, SteadyChicoutimi SaguenéensQMJHL–91.11+1%28%8%4%Long shot?
5Jake BurmisLD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyMedicine Hat TigersWHL–70.43−8%34%10%1%Long shot?
6Crosby MateychukD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyVancouver GiantsWHL–100.30032%10%2%Long shot?
7Cruz JimRD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyBrandon Wheat KingsWHL–110.36−8%27%8%2%Long shot?
8Aiden WagnerRD, 17. Steady, HonestRegina PatsWHL–80.13−16%30%7%<1%Long shot
9Daniel VaillantD, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyWenatchee WildWHL–30.33+44%28%7%<1%Long shot
10Adrian SgroD, 16. Young for the league, EdgySarnia StingOHL–120.25−11%23%9%1%Long shot?
11Remy KochD, 15. Young for the league, SteadyKelowna RocketsWHL–60.17−5%27%6%3%Long shot?
12Vladimir ShtyrkhunovD, 17. Volume shooter, SteadyShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–100.90+6%25%4%2%Long shot?
13Kasen WalshD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyChicoutimi SaguenéensQMJHL–60.33−3%19%8%4%Long shot?
14Ryan YurkiwD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyBarrie ColtsOHL–90.33+44%30%<1%<1%Long shot?
15Jiří GombárLD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueKitchener RangersOHL–120.17+15%17%4%<1%Long shot?
16Chase SewellD, 17. Young for the league, Big frameSarnia StingOHL–50.00−12%19%7%3%Long shot?
17Cohen WilliamsD, 17. Young for the league, SteadyMoose Jaw WarriorsWHL–60.17+2%22%6%2%Long shot
18Gordei KhotkovD, 16. Young for the league, HeavySaginaw SpiritOHL–110.27−18%16%8%2%Long shot?
19Alex ForrestLD, 17. Young for the league, SteadyKitchener RangersOHL–120.33+14%21%3%2%Long shot?
20Thomas CharbonneauD, 17. Young for the league, RisingSaint John Sea DogsQMJHL–110.45+12%16%8%2%Long shot
21Quinn NormanD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyNewfoundland RegimentQMJHL–130.08−3%17%9%1%Long shot
22Brady BlasegLD, 18. Carrying a team, HeavyOshawa GeneralsOHL–80.13+36%19%3%2%Long shot
23Luke DumasD, 16. Young for the league, Stacked rosterSaskatoon BladesWHL–50.00−27%17%5%2%Long shot?
24Harry MatternD, 17. Young for the league, SteadySpokane ChiefsWHL–70.14−14%18%6%1%Long shot
25Ivan BelikovD, 16. Young for the league, Big frameSudbury WolvesOHL–60.00−19%19%6%2%Long shot?
26Lawrence WilliamsD, 16. Young for the league, SteadySaint John Sea DogsQMJHL–90.22+10%18%7%3%Long shot?
27Max LappanD, 16. Young for the league, HeavyNiagara IceDogsOHL–110.09+5%15%4%3%Long shot?
28Mason RoyD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyBrampton SteelheadsOHL–100.00+26%16%3%1%Long shot
29Jaden LicastroD, 16. Young for the league, SteadySoo GreyhoundsOHL–100.00019%6%2%Long shot?
30Vincent BoutetD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyVictoriaville TigresQMJHL–110.18−11%10%8%3%Long shot?
31Clément LandryD, 17. Young for the league, HeavyGatineau OlympiquesQMJHL–90.00+11%11%9%3%Long shot?
32Nick BogasD, 18. Steady, HonestFlint FirebirdsOHL–90.67−10%25%1%<1%Long shot?
33Thor LiffitonRD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leaguePenticton VeesWHL–120.08+20%16%4%2%Long shot?
34Jet KwajahD, 18. Steady, HonestBrantford BulldogsOHL–100.70−9%26%1%<1%Long shot?
35Whitaker RewertzLD, 17. Carrying a team, Young for the leaguePenticton VeesWHL–50.40+20%20%1%1%Long shot?
36Lucas NuttingD, 17. Steady, HonestFlint FirebirdsOHL–90.56−8%20%3%1%Long shot?
37Aram MinnetianD, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyTexas StarsAHLDAL#125, 202360.33+17%23%1%<1%Long shot
38Adam GoljerD, 18. Steady, HonestKingston FrontenacsOHL–100.70−13%24%1%<1%Long shot?
39Gregor BiberD, 20. Young for the league, SteadyTucson RoadrunnersAHL–60.33024%<1%<1%Long shot?
40Carter KunopaskiD, 17. Rising, HeavyNorth Bay BattalionOHL–90.33+16%18%4%<1%Long shot
41Xavier CormierD, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyDrummondville VoltigeursQMJHL–110.00+36%17%3%2%Long shot
42Nikolas FerryD, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyRed Deer RebelsWHL–140.00+26%12%6%2%Long shot?
43Luke ChristophersonD, 17. Carrying a team, RisingPortland WinterhawksWHL–80.13+22%18%4%<1%Long shot
44Jack JohnsonD, 17. Steady, HonestOttawa 67'sOHL–70.14−5%16%3%2%Long shot?
45Garrett BrownD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyUniv. of DenverNCAAWPG#99, 2022340.41020%1%<1%Long shot
46Cameron MinellaD, 17. Young for the league, RisingHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL–100.20015%5%2%Long shot
47Lukasz McIsaacD, 17. Young for the league, EdgyTri-City AmericansWHL–50.00+14%15%6%1%Long shot?
48Griffin DarbyD, 17. Steady, HonestMoose Jaw WarriorsWHL–80.25+2%17%2%<1%Long shot
49Jared HardingD, 18. Carrying a team, UndersizedBrampton SteelheadsOHL–70.43+34%23%2%<1%Long shot?
50Eliot FaucherD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–100.10013%7%2%Long shot?
51Drew SchockD, 19. Steady, HonestUniv. of MichiganNCAAANA#101, 202561.33−5%18%<1%<1%Long shot
52Leo LaschonLD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyOshawa GeneralsOHL–120.33+36%16%2%<1%Long shot
53Dante D'AndreaD, 17. Steady, HonestKingston FrontenacsOHL–110.27−15%17%1%<1%Long shot?
54Chris KokkorisRD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyEdmonton Oil KingsWHL–70.00−6%16%4%2%Long shot?
55Cody CostelloLD, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyOshawa GeneralsOHL–90.11+34%18%<1%<1%Long shot?
56Jake LivanavageD, 22. Stacked roster, SteadyWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT51.00−23%20%1%<1%Long shot
57Blake MunningsLD, 17. Rising, SteadyNiagara IceDogsOHL–90.22+5%16%4%<1%Long shot
58Charles GénéreuxD, 17. Steady, HonestRimouski OcéanicQMJHL–70.14−23%9%8%<1%Long shot?
59Leo Sahlin WalleniusD, 20. Young for the league, SteadySan Jose BarracudaAHL–60.33−5%21%<1%<1%Long shot?
60Drew RoscoeD, 17. Heavy, Stacked rosterSaginaw SpiritOHL–40.00−20%16%3%<1%Long shot
61Kale McCannRD, 16. Young for the league, EdgyCalgary HitmenWHL–80.00−21%14%4%2%Long shot?
62Easton DozarkD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leaguePortland WinterhawksWHL–80.00+22%14%4%2%Long shot?
63Hawke HuffD, 20. Steady, HonestUniv. of St. ThomasNCAASEA#148, 202620.50+5%17%<1%<1%Long shot
64Aden BouchardD, 17. Rising, Carrying a teamTri-City AmericansWHL–100.40+19%15%3%<1%Long shot
65Andrew WillisD, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyErie OttersOHL–80.00+42%12%3%2%Long shot?
66Owen CartwrightD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyBrampton SteelheadsOHL–60.17+26%14%3%<1%Long shot
67Caleb PotterD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadySwift Current BroncosWHL–250.20+28%19%1%<1%Long shot?
68Cooper BrattonD, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyPrince George CougarsWHL–60.17+31%15%3%<1%Long shot?
69Stevie LeskovarD, 22. Edgy, Carrying a teamIowa WildAHL–20.00+24%18%1%<1%Long shot?
70Jesse DebruynD, 17. Steady, HonestWindsor SpitfiresOHL–110.27014%2%1%Long shot?
71Christian ColosimoD, 17. Edgy, HeavyNiagara IceDogsOHL–60.17+5%12%2%<1%Long shot?
72Luca DiplacidoRD, 18. Carrying a team, EdgyOshawa GeneralsOHL–10.00+34%13%1%1%Long shot?
73Biagio Jr DanieleD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyBaie-Comeau DrakkarQMJHL–110.18+44%12%3%3%Long shot
74Elliot ArnettD, 18. Carrying a team, EdgyOwen Sound AttackOHL–90.00+32%13%2%<1%Long shot
75Joaquin GerasD, 17. Steady, HonestKamloops BlazersWHL–40.00+10%16%2%<1%Long shot
76Michael FisherD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyCornell Univ.NCAASJS#76, 2022330.24+4%20%<1%<1%Long shot?
77Oskar KonobeljD, 17. Edgy, Big frameNorth Bay BattalionOHL–110.18+16%11%<1%<1%Long shot?
78Logan MassimiRD, 17. Steady, HonestKitchener RangersOHL–80.13+14%16%<1%<1%Long shot?
79Gavin McCarthyD, 21. Young for the league, EdgyRochester AmericansAHL–50.40−4%16%1%<1%Long shot?
80Bryson RobertsD, 17. Steady, HonestSpokane ChiefsWHL–70.14−14%11%4%1%Long shot?
81Hunter SolomonD, 18. Playmaker, SteadySarnia StingOHL–600.17+20%14%<1%<1%Long shot
82Will KeltsD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyKelowna RocketsWHL–50.00−5%14%3%2%Long shot?
83Christopher WeissD, 17. Steady, HonestSoo GreyhoundsOHL–100.20016%<1%<1%Long shot?
84Arseni KoromyslovD, 22. Carrying a team, SteadySpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#120, 202260.17+22%13%2%<1%Long shot
85Brandon DelarosbilD, 18. Rising, PlaymakerSaint John Sea DogsQMJHL–110.73+12%11%3%2%Long shot
86Quinn BeauchesneD, 19. Edgy, SteadyBoston CollegeNCAAPIT#148, 202520.50−7%15%<1%<1%Long shot
87Jacob XuLD, 18. Steady, HonestPeterborough PetesOHL–120.08013%<1%<1%Long shot
88Noah LevyD, 16. Young for the league, Big frameCape Breton EaglesQMJHL–100.00+6%11%4%3%Long shot?
89Zachary PetitD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–80.00+12%11%4%3%Long shot?
90Aiden MowreyD, 17. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBarrie ColtsOHL–80.00+44%11%3%1%Long shot?
91Jonas WooLD, 19. Stacked roster, SteadyMedicine Hat TigersWHL–561.54−23%12%3%<1%Long shot
92Matthew MayichD, 21. Steady, HonestClarkson Univ.NCAASTL#170, 2023340.44+15%14%1%<1%Long shot
93Nigel BoehmLD, 17. Steady, HonestBrandon Wheat KingsWHL–110.27−9%11%2%<1%Long shot
94Logan LepinskiD, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyEverett SilvertipsWHL–70.29+44%15%1%<1%Long shot?
95Liam LaddsD, 18. Rising, EdgySudbury WolvesOHL–90.44−18%17%<1%<1%Long shot
96Maksim SokolovskiiD, 18. Edgy, HeavyLondon KnightsOHL–10.00−17%10%2%<1%Long shot
97Tobias AlmstedtD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyBaie-Comeau DrakkarQMJHL–190.26+44%12%2%<1%Long shot?
98Caden BellD, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyOwen Sound AttackOHL–110.09+32%11%2%<1%Long shot?
99Gavin ChristieD, 17. Steady, HonestKingston FrontenacsOHL–120.08−16%11%3%1%Long shot?
100Dominick ByrtusD, 17. Steady, HonestLethbridge HurricanesWHL–100.40−2%14%<1%<1%Long shot?

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.