GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Brock CrippsD, 17. Young for the league, PlaymakerPrince Albert RaidersWHL–110.91+13%66%33%14%Third-pair
2David ReinbacherD, 21. Edgy, HeavyLaval RocketAHLMTL#5, 202340.50−27%70%27%5%Third-pair
3Kohyn EshkawkoganD, 17. Steady, HonestOttawa 67'sOHL–100.40−6%60%27%16%Third-pair
4Daxon RudolphD, 18. Steady, HonestPrince Albert RaidersWHL–681.15−14%60%30%21%Third-pair
5Matthew PerreaultD, 17. Young for the league, SteadyPeterborough PetesOHL–120.33058%21%16%Third-pair
6Stian SolbergD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSan Diego GullsAHLANA#23, 202470.86+18%72%15%3%Third-pair
7Logan HenslerD, 19. Steady, HonestUniv. of WisconsinNCAAOTT#23, 202540.75+10%75%7%4%Third-pair?
8Oliver BonkD, 21. Edgy, SteadyLehigh Valley PhantomsAHLPHI#22, 202321.00−13%61%10%3%Third-pair
9Owen PickeringD, 22. Edgy, HeavyWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#21, 202260.17−23%68%5%2%Third-pair
10Boston TaitD, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyWenatchee WildWHL–100.20+44%51%14%10%Third-pair
11Tanner MolendykD, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#24, 202340.50+10%55%10%2%Third-pair
12Anton SilaevD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueUtica CometsAHLNJD#10, 202440.00+23%70%5%2%Third-pair
13Seamus CaseyD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyUtica CometsAHLNJD#46, 2022290.66+14%60%4%4%Third-pair?
14Nikita ShcherbakovD, 18. Young for the league, SteadySalavat Yulaev UfaKHLNJD#44, 2026170.35−5%51%10%7%Third-pair
15Tommy BleylD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyMoncton WildcatsQMJHL–631.29−22%51%11%2%Third-pair
16EJ EmeryD, 20. Big frame, SteadyUniv. of North DakotaNCAANYR#30, 202440.50+10%57%2%<1%Third-pair
17Harrison BrunickeD, 20. Young for the league, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#44, 202460.33−24%53%8%2%Third-pair
18Elias SalomonssonD, 22. Steady, HonestManitoba MooseAHLWPG#55, 202210.00−28%50%10%<1%Third-pair?
19Michael D'AlessioD, 17. Carrying a team, PlaymakerErie OttersOHL–480.33+42%52%3%3%Third-pair
20Leon MuggliD, 20. Young for the league, SteadyHershey BearsAHLWSH#52, 202440.25054%6%<1%Third-pair?

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.