GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Alex McLeanC, 18. Steady, HonestKingston FrontenacsOHL–120.67−12%49%28%26%Tweener
2JP HurlbertRW, 18. Steady, HonestKamloops BlazersWHL–681.43−1%48%26%15%Tweener
3Thomas VandenbergC, 18. Sniper, SteadyOttawa 67'sOHL–590.85−3%49%25%11%Tweener
4Aleks KuleminC, 17. Rising, Big frameKingston FrontenacsOHL–121.00−12%45%25%7%Tweener
5Jayden PominvilleC, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–120.75+16%41%22%16%Tweener
6Oleg KulebiakinRW, 18. Steady, HonestHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL–80.88+3%42%19%15%Tweener
7Rhett SatherD, 17. Edgy, RisingSpokane ChiefsWHL–80.88−13%44%16%10%Tweener
8Collin KimLW, 15. Young for the league, SteadyKamloops BlazersWHL–70.57+13%48%19%8%Tweener?
9Olivier CharronC, 16. Young for the league, SteadyShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–100.70+6%43%22%14%Tweener
10Ulysses LombardiC, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyErie OttersOHL–80.38+26%46%20%7%Tweener
11Marek VanackerL, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#27, 202460.00+36%48%14%3%Tweener
12Peter GreenD, 17. Rising, Carrying a teamBrampton SteelheadsOHL–100.70+31%45%20%9%Tweener
13Ryan BrownLW, 18. Playmaker, SteadyLondon KnightsOHL–51.60−15%46%13%7%Tweener
14Chase SurkanLW, 17. Playmaker, RisingBrandon Wheat KingsWHL–111.18048%14%5%Tweener
15Matias VanhanenL, 19. Young for the league, EdgyBoston CollegeNCAANJD#37, 202631.00−5%47%17%6%Tweener
16Calder HamiltonLD, 17. Rising, SteadyCalgary HitmenWHL–90.78−19%48%14%9%Tweener
17Caleb MalhotraC, 18. Stacked roster, SteadyBrantford BulldogsOHL–671.25−20%44%15%8%Tweener
18Brenner LammensC, 17. Rising, Young for the leagueSarnia StingOHL–120.67−7%43%16%8%Tweener
19Markus RuckC, 18. Steady, HonestMedicine Hat TigersWHLPIT#39, 202671.29−2%40%16%7%Tweener
20Ben HarveyRW, 17. Carrying a team, Young for the leaguePrince Albert RaidersWHL–110.91+22%42%13%6%Tweener
21Zachary LansardRW, 18. Steady, HonestRegina PatsWHL–80.88−11%35%15%12%Tweener
22Ilya KolmakovLW, 17. Playmaker, SteadySherbrooke PhœnixQMJHL–101.00−10%39%16%7%Tweener
23Pierce MbuyiL, 18. Carrying a team, EdgyOwen Sound AttackOHLPIT#86, 2026111.18+39%38%18%3%Tweener
24Brad LambertC, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyManitoba MooseAHLWPG#30, 2022340.38+27%43%5%2%Tweener
25Cam LundC, 22. Steady, HonestSan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#34, 2022370.68−5%48%6%3%Tweener
26Dmitri BuchelnikovL, 23. Steady, HonestCSKA MoskvaKHLSTL#52, 2022160.44−3%34%13%12%Tweener
27Gracyn SawchynC, 21. Steady, HonestCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#63, 202360.33+23%41%7%4%Tweener
28Lyndon CabralRW, 17. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueErie OttersOHL–70.00+42%41%17%9%Tweener?
29Braidy WassilynLW, 18. Rising, Running hotSaginaw SpiritOHL–111.91−6%39%13%4%Tweener
30Luca CagnoniD, 21. Playmaker, UndersizedSan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#123, 2023670.64−5%49%7%1%Tweener
31Luca SantalaC, 17. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueKitchener RangersOHL–120.58+25%35%12%3%Tweener?
32Alessandro Di IorioC, 18. Rising, SteadySarnia StingOHL–81.25−6%37%15%5%Tweener
33Jakub VanecekD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyTri-City AmericansWHL–90.67+19%46%12%6%Tweener
34Cruz PavaoRW, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyTri-City AmericansWHL–100.70+28%38%14%5%Tweener
35Juraj PekarcikL, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#76, 202360.00+22%41%9%2%Tweener
36Jayson ShaugabayR, 21. Playmaker, UndersizedUniv. of Minnesota-DuluthNCAATBL#115, 202361.50+5%44%6%2%Tweener
37Bogdan YakushevskyRW, 17. Running hot, SniperWindsor SpitfiresOHL–111.09+11%34%10%5%Tweener?
38Luca BlondaD, 17. Steady, HonestSudbury WolvesOHL–100.30−18%44%6%5%Tweener
39Denver BarkeyC, 21. Young for the league, SteadyLehigh Valley PhantomsAHLPHI#95, 2023260.62+7%45%6%2%Tweener?
40Ethan BelchetzLW, 18. Heavy, SniperWindsor SpitfiresOHL–571.04−9%37%12%4%Tweener
41Tyson JugnauthD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#100, 202271.71−15%45%7%1%Tweener
42Nathan AmidovskiLW, 18. Carrying a team, RisingBrampton SteelheadsOHL–101.00+41%39%12%2%Tweener
43Jaxon CoverR, 18. Volume shooter, SteadyLondon KnightsOHLOTT#32, 202661.17−12%43%8%3%Tweener
44Gavin HayesL, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#66, 202260.83+43%37%10%3%Tweener
45Sandis VilmanisL, 22. Steady, HonestCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#157, 2022480.79+8%43%3%1%Tweener
46Beckham EdwardsC, 18. Carrying a team, SteadySarnia StingOHL–640.70+27%41%8%7%Tweener
47Roman AndreevRW, 16. Young for the league, SteadyKitchener RangersOHL–70.00+14%39%16%4%Tweener?
48Tristan BertucciD, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueTexas StarsAHLDAL#61, 202350.40+17%45%9%1%Tweener
49Ryan UfkoD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#115, 202140.25+10%48%3%2%Tweener
50Adam EngstromD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyLaval RocketAHLMTL#92, 2022450.76−2%43%3%2%Tweener
51Brayden KlimpkeD, 18. Rising, Stacked rosterSaskatoon BladesWHL–91.67−18%44%7%2%Tweener
52Matthew SeminoffR, 22. Carrying a team, Volume shooterTexas StarsAHLDAL#179, 202260.83+16%40%2%<1%Tweener
53Kent GreerD, 18. Playmaker, UndersizedNorth Bay BattalionOHL–580.57+3%38%9%4%Tweener
54Noah LausLW, 17. Rising, Running hotSoo GreyhoundsOHL–111.09+13%40%8%4%Tweener
55Alex BumpL, 22. Volume shooter, Carrying a teamLehigh Valley PhantomsAHLPHI#133, 202251.60+15%39%2%2%Tweener
56James ScantleburyC, 17. Running hot, SteadyQuébec RempartsQMJHL–101.90−10%33%15%4%Tweener?
57Ethan GauthierR, 21. Carrying a team, SteadySyracuse CrunchAHLTBL#37, 202350.20+23%47%4%<1%Tweener
58Teddy StigaC, 20. Steady, HonestBoston CollegeNCAANSH#55, 202430.33−5%42%4%2%Tweener
59Tyler HindeC, 17. Rising, Carrying a teamOshawa GeneralsOHL–120.42+41%30%12%3%Tweener?
60Corson CeulemansD, 23. Steady, HonestCleveland MonstersAHLCBJ#25, 202160.50−14%43%4%<1%Tweener
61Malcolm SpenceL, 19. Edgy, SteadyUniv. of MichiganNCAANYR#43, 202561.17−3%40%5%3%Tweener
62Aleksanteri KaskimäkiF, 22. Steady, HonestSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHL–640.69+10%43%2%<1%Tweener
63Jack DevineR, 22. Carrying a team, Volume shooterCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#221, 202260.67+36%43%3%<1%Tweener
64Luca PinelliLW, 21. Edgy, UndersizedCleveland MonstersAHL–61.00−7%39%4%<1%Tweener
65John MustardC, 20. Steady, HonestProvidence CollegeNCAACHI#67, 202430.67−3%37%7%1%Tweener
66Lukas FischerD, 20. Carrying a team, EdgySpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#56, 202450.00+22%44%5%2%Tweener
67Matyas SapovalivC, 22. Carrying a team, Big frameHenderson Silver KnightsAHLVGK#48, 202250.80+16%43%4%1%Tweener
68Ben HemmerlingR, 22. Edgy, SteadyHenderson Silver KnightsAHLVGK#177, 202220.50+4%36%4%1%Tweener
69Alfons FreijD, 20. Young for the league, SteadyManitoba MooseAHLWPG#37, 202460.50−26%41%3%<1%Tweener
70Ty NelsonD, 22. Heavy, PlaymakerCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHL–630.56−3%37%4%<1%Tweener
71Lucas MathesonD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBarrie ColtsOHL–110.27+44%38%5%5%Tweener?
72Logan StuartLW, 18. Carrying a team, SniperLethbridge HurricanesWHL–101.30+18%34%8%1%Tweener?
73Ivan MiroshnichenkoLW, 22. Heavy, SteadyHershey BearsAHL–410.83+7%36%2%<1%Tweener
74John MooneyC, 19. Edgy, Young for the leagueUniv. of MinnesotaNCAAMTL#113, 202520.00−1%35%6%2%Tweener
75Anton WahlbergLW, 21. Young for the league, HeavySan Diego GullsAHL–71.00+16%35%6%<1%Tweener
76Filip MesarR, 22. Stacked roster, SteadyLaval RocketAHLMTL#26, 202260.67−24%32%3%<1%Tweener
77Frederic BrunetD, 23. Steady, HonestProvidence BruinsAHLBOS#132, 2022650.55−2%36%2%<1%Tweener
78Zach L’HeureuxLW, 23. Sniper, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHL–300.93+2%34%5%1%Tweener?
79Joshua RoyLW, 23. Steady, HonestTucson RoadrunnersAHL–60.33037%3%1%Tweener
80Sasha PastujovF, 23. Volume shooter, SniperLaval RocketAHL–61.33−18%35%3%<1%Tweener
81Andrew GibsonD, 21. Carrying a team, HeavyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#42, 202340.00+10%43%2%<1%Tweener
82Kevin KorchinskiD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHL–530.49+6%33%3%<1%Tweener
83Lukas DragicevicD, 21. Edgy, Young for the leagueCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#57, 202370.29−19%44%2%<1%Tweener
84Simas IgnataviciusR, 18. Young for the league, SteadyGenève-Servette HCNLFLA#40, 2026130.08+14%34%2%2%Tweener
85Christian KyrouD, 23. Steady, HonestBelleville SenatorsAHL–60.67035%2%<1%Tweener
86Broden McArthurD, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyErie OttersOHL–110.55+26%32%8%2%Tweener?
87Lasse BoeliusD, 19. Young for the league, PlaymakerÄssätLIIGAANA#60, 2025400.20+14%41%2%<1%Tweener
88Ryan ChesleyD, 22. Steady, HonestHershey BearsAHLWSH#37, 202260.33−3%37%1%<1%Tweener
89Etienne MorinD, 21. Steady, HonestCalgary WranglersAHLNJD#48, 2023420.17042%2%<1%Tweener
90Beau AkeyD, 21. Steady, HonestBakersfield CondorsAHLEDM#56, 202340.00040%1%<1%Tweener
91Sawyer MynioD, 21. Young for the league, SteadyAbbotsford CanucksAHL–50.60−12%29%5%<1%Tweener
92Kirill KudryavtsevD, 22. Steady, HonestAbbotsford CanucksAHL–31.00−12%29%3%<1%Tweener
93Blake FiddlerD, 19. Young for the league, HeavyUniv. of DenverNCAASEA#36, 202540.00−1%35%<1%<1%Tweener
94Lucian BernatRW, 18. Carrying a team, Big frameOwen Sound AttackOHL–70.71+34%28%2%2%Tweener?

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.