Prospect board
The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.
- First-liner2
- Top-pair1
- Middle-sixer4
- Second-pair1
- Fourth-liner11
- Third-pair3
- Tweener26
- AHLer182
- Long shot770
| # | Player | Team | Rights | GP | P/GP | Context | NHL odds | Top odds | Elite odds | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marek VanackerL, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the league | Rockford IceHogsAHL | CHI#27, 2024 | 6 | 0.00 | +36% | 48% | 14% | 3% | Tweener |
| 2 | Matias VanhanenL, 19. Young for the league, Edgy | Boston CollegeNCAA | NJD#37, 2026 | 3 | 1.00 | −5% | 47% | 17% | 6% | Tweener |
| 3 | Markus RuckC, 18. Steady, Honest | Medicine Hat TigersWHL | PIT#39, 2026 | 7 | 1.29 | −2% | 40% | 16% | 7% | Tweener |
| 4 | Pierce MbuyiL, 18. Carrying a team, Edgy | Owen Sound AttackOHL | PIT#86, 2026 | 11 | 1.18 | +39% | 38% | 18% | 3% | Tweener |
| 5 | Brad LambertC, 22. Carrying a team, Steady | Manitoba MooseAHL | WPG#30, 2022 | 34 | 0.38 | +27% | 43% | 5% | 2% | Tweener |
| 6 | Cam LundC, 22. Steady, Honest | San Jose BarracudaAHL | SJS#34, 2022 | 37 | 0.68 | −5% | 48% | 6% | 3% | Tweener |
| 7 | Dmitri BuchelnikovL, 23. Steady, Honest | CSKA MoskvaKHL | STL#52, 2022 | 16 | 0.44 | −3% | 34% | 13% | 12% | Tweener |
| 8 | Gracyn SawchynC, 21. Steady, Honest | Charlotte CheckersAHL | FLA#63, 2023 | 6 | 0.33 | +23% | 41% | 7% | 4% | Tweener |
| 9 | Juraj PekarcikL, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the league | Springfield ThunderbirdsAHL | STL#76, 2023 | 6 | 0.00 | +22% | 41% | 9% | 2% | Tweener |
| 10 | Jayson ShaugabayR, 21. Playmaker, Undersized | Univ. of Minnesota-DuluthNCAA | TBL#115, 2023 | 6 | 1.50 | +5% | 44% | 6% | 2% | Tweener |
| 11 | Denver BarkeyC, 21. Young for the league, Steady | Lehigh Valley PhantomsAHL | PHI#95, 2023 | 26 | 0.62 | +7% | 45% | 6% | 2% | Tweener? |
| 12 | Jaxon CoverR, 18. Volume shooter, Steady | London KnightsOHL | OTT#32, 2026 | 6 | 1.17 | −12% | 43% | 8% | 3% | Tweener |
| 13 | Gavin HayesL, 22. Carrying a team, Steady | Rockford IceHogsAHL | CHI#66, 2022 | 6 | 0.83 | +43% | 37% | 10% | 3% | Tweener |
| 14 | Sandis VilmanisL, 22. Steady, Honest | Charlotte CheckersAHL | FLA#157, 2022 | 48 | 0.79 | +8% | 43% | 3% | 1% | Tweener |
| 15 | Matthew SeminoffR, 22. Carrying a team, Volume shooter | Texas StarsAHL | DAL#179, 2022 | 6 | 0.83 | +16% | 40% | 2% | <1% | Tweener |
| 16 | Alex BumpL, 22. Volume shooter, Carrying a team | Lehigh Valley PhantomsAHL | PHI#133, 2022 | 5 | 1.60 | +15% | 39% | 2% | 2% | Tweener |
| 17 | Ethan GauthierR, 21. Carrying a team, Steady | Syracuse CrunchAHL | TBL#37, 2023 | 5 | 0.20 | +23% | 47% | 4% | <1% | Tweener |
| 18 | Teddy StigaC, 20. Steady, Honest | Boston CollegeNCAA | NSH#55, 2024 | 3 | 0.33 | −5% | 42% | 4% | 2% | Tweener |
| 19 | Malcolm SpenceL, 19. Edgy, Steady | Univ. of MichiganNCAA | NYR#43, 2025 | 6 | 1.17 | −3% | 40% | 5% | 3% | Tweener |
| 20 | Jack DevineR, 22. Carrying a team, Volume shooter | Charlotte CheckersAHL | FLA#221, 2022 | 6 | 0.67 | +36% | 43% | 3% | <1% | Tweener |
| 21 | John MustardC, 20. Steady, Honest | Providence CollegeNCAA | CHI#67, 2024 | 3 | 0.67 | −3% | 37% | 7% | 1% | Tweener |
| 22 | Matyas SapovalivC, 22. Carrying a team, Big frame | Henderson Silver KnightsAHL | VGK#48, 2022 | 5 | 0.80 | +16% | 43% | 4% | 1% | Tweener |
| 23 | Ben HemmerlingR, 22. Edgy, Steady | Henderson Silver KnightsAHL | VGK#177, 2022 | 2 | 0.50 | +4% | 36% | 4% | 1% | Tweener |
| 24 | John MooneyC, 19. Edgy, Young for the league | Univ. of MinnesotaNCAA | MTL#113, 2025 | 2 | 0.00 | −1% | 35% | 6% | 2% | Tweener |
| 25 | Filip MesarR, 22. Stacked roster, Steady | Laval RocketAHL | MTL#26, 2022 | 6 | 0.67 | −24% | 32% | 3% | <1% | Tweener |
| 26 | Simas IgnataviciusR, 18. Young for the league, Steady | Genève-Servette HCNL | FLA#40, 2026 | 13 | 0.08 | +14% | 34% | 2% | 2% | Tweener |
The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.