GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Oiva KeskinenC, 22. Steady, HonestCleveland MonstersAHLCBJ#194, 202360.67−13%20%11%<1%Long shot
2Caleb DesnoyersF, 19. Young for the league, SteadyTucson RoadrunnersAHL–60.50+5%18%9%1%Long shot
3Brady MartinC, 19. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueMilwaukee AdmiralsAHL–40.75+25%21%7%<1%Long shot?
4Alex WeiermairF, 21. Young for the league, HeavyHenderson Silver KnightsAHL–50.20+8%17%6%1%Long shot
5Braeden CootesC, 19. Young for the league, SteadyAbbotsford CanucksAHL–61.00−4%16%6%1%Long shot
6Jett LuchankoF, 20. Young for the league, SteadyLehigh Valley PhantomsAHL–61.00−8%17%5%<1%Long shot
7Gabe SmithF, 20. Young for the league, HeavyTucson RoadrunnersAHL–60.67014%4%<1%Long shot
8Melvin FernströmR, 20. Young for the league, HeavyWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#93, 202430.33−23%10%3%<1%Long shot
9Lucas EllinasL, 20. Young for the league, HeavyBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#104, 202440.00015%1%<1%Long shot?
10Anthony (AJ) SpellacyR, 20. Young for the league, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#72, 202460.00+4%13%2%<1%Long shot
11Petr SikoraC, 20. Young for the league, EdgyHershey BearsAHLWSH#178, 202460.17010%1%<1%Long shot?
12Vojtech ČihařLW, 19. Young for the league, SteadyOntario ReignAHL–40.25012%4%<1%Long shot
13Sloan StanickF, 23. Steady, HonestHenderson Silver KnightsAHL–20.00+4%12%1%<1%Long shot?
14Ilya PautovLW, 20. Young for the league, SteadyLehigh Valley PhantomsAHL–60.17−13%15%<1%<1%Long shot?
15William NichollC, 20. Young for the league, SteadyBakersfield CondorsAHL–50.40012%1%<1%Long shot
16Zac FunkLW, 23. Steady, HonestRochester AmericansAHL–30.33−1%12%<1%<1%Long shot?
17Miroslav HolinkaC, 20. Young for the league, Stacked rosterToronto MarliesAHL–40.25−19%9%3%<1%Long shot
18Nikita SusuyevF, 21. Carrying a team, SteadySpringfield ThunderbirdsAHL–30.00+22%9%<1%<1%Long shot
19Ryan HoferC, 20. Young for the league, SteadyHershey BearsAHL–110.09+3%12%<1%<1%Long shot?
20Attilio BiascaF, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyProvidence BruinsAHL–60.00+28%12%1%<1%Long shot?
21Kenta IsogaiF, 22. Steady, HonestOntario ReignAHL–280.21−2%11%<1%<1%Long shot?
22Riley KidneyC, 23. Steady, HonestBelleville SenatorsAHL–110.27−1%11%<1%<1%Long shot?
23Eddie GenborgF, 19. Young for the league, SteadyGrand Rapids GriffinsAHL–110.27−13%8%1%<1%Long shot?
24Brayden EdwardsC, 21. Stacked roster, SteadyWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHL–40.00−24%12%<1%<1%Long shot?
25Landon SimF, 22. Edgy, Stacked rosterToronto MarliesAHL–60.17−19%9%<1%<1%Long shot?
26Luke MistelbacherRW, 20. Young for the league, SteadyBelleville SenatorsAHL–10.0006%3%<1%Long shot
27Justin JanickeF, 23. Steady, HonestCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHL–110.18−6%10%<1%<1%Long shot?
28Davis BurnsideF, 22. Steady, HonestManitoba MooseAHL–60.33−27%10%<1%<1%Long shot?
29Charlie PaquetteF, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueTexas StarsAHL–30.00+13%9%2%<1%Long shot
30Ryden EversL, 21. Young for the league, HeavyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA50.20−17%8%2%<1%Long shot
31Red SavageC, 23. Steady, HonestRochester AmericansAHL–50.40−1%8%<1%<1%Long shot
32Tyler KopffC, 23. Heavy, SteadyRochester AmericansAHLWSH300.17−4%7%<1%<1%Long shot?
33Marcel MarcelF, 22. Heavy, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHL–130.08+6%6%<1%<1%Long shot?
34A.J. SpellacyF, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueRockford IceHogsAHL–60.00+36%8%1%<1%Long shot
35Connor ClattenburgLW, 21. Edgy, Young for the leagueBakersfield CondorsAHL–40.25+3%5%<1%<1%Long shot
36Cooper FlintonLW, 23. Carrying a team, HeavySyracuse CrunchAHL–40.00+23%4%<1%<1%Long shot
37Matt CopponiC, 23. Steady, HonestBakersfield CondorsAHLEDM#216, 2023290.10−7%4%<1%<1%Long shot?
38Sawyer BoultonF, 22. Heavy, SteadyLehigh Valley PhantomsAHL–160.06+6%5%<1%<1%Long shot?
39Carter WilkieC, 22. Heavy, SteadyCalgary WranglersAHL–50.00−16%4%<1%<1%Long shot
40Josh BloomLW, 23. Steady, HonestBakersfield CondorsAHL–220.14−7%4%<1%<1%Long shot?
41Josh DaviesLW, 22. Steady, HonestMilwaukee AdmiralsAHL–150.07−2%3%<1%<1%Long shot?
42Jaxon FuderC, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueTexas StarsAHLDAL20.00+13%4%<1%<1%Long shot
43Alex CiernikL, 21. Steady, HonestLehigh Valley PhantomsAHLPHI#120, 202340.00−13%4%<1%<1%Long shot
44Jake ChiassonRW, 23. Steady, HonestLaval RocketAHL–200.05−4%3%<1%<1%Long shot?

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.