GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Milton GastrinC, 19. Young for the league, SteadyBrynäs IFSHLSTL#37, 202570.00+4%69%26%26%Fourth-liner
2Alexander CommandC, 18. Young for the league, SteadyÖrebro HKSHLNJD#12, 202650.00+4%79%25%15%Fourth-liner?
3Nick LardisL, 21. Carrying a team, Volume shooterRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#67, 202330.67+36%64%37%12%Fourth-liner
4Felix NilssonC, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#43, 202340.25+10%77%27%17%Fourth-liner
5Justin CarbonneauR, 19. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#19, 202560.67+32%83%32%13%Fourth-liner
6Felix Unger SörumR, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueChicago WolvesAHLCAR#62, 202340.25+44%63%36%7%Fourth-liner
7Roman KantserovR, 21. Undersized, SniperMetallurg MagnitogorskKHLCHI#44, 2023631.02+1%66%34%13%Fourth-liner
8Terik ParascakR, 20. Young for the league, SteadyHershey BearsAHLWSH#17, 202420.00−3%77%22%11%Fourth-liner
9Andrew CristallL, 21. Playmaker, SteadyHershey BearsAHLWSH#40, 202361.33+2%73%21%5%Fourth-liner
10Jonas Lagerberg HoenR, 18. Steady, HonestLeksands IFALLSVENSKANOTT#25, 202641.00+3%57%16%15%Fourth-liner?
11Luca Del Bel BelluzC, 22. Steady, HonestCleveland MonstersAHLCBJ#44, 2022551.05+5%81%13%5%Fourth-liner
12Brayden YagerC, 21. Sniper, SteadyManitoba MooseAHLWPG#14, 202361.50−19%68%13%6%Fourth-liner
13Jagger FirkusR, 22. Playmaker, SteadyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#35, 202271.14−14%65%22%5%Fourth-liner
14Joakim KemellR, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#17, 202241.00+16%67%14%6%Fourth-liner
15Lenni HameenahoR, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyUtica CometsAHLNJD#58, 202341.25+25%75%13%5%Fourth-liner
16Liam RuckR, 18. Steady, HonestMedicine Hat TigersWHLPIT#22, 202670.86−6%61%15%11%Fourth-liner
17Emil HemmingR, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueTexas StarsAHLDAL#29, 202460.17+17%60%22%4%Fourth-liner
18Jani NymanR, 22. Edgy, SniperCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#49, 202271.43074%13%6%Fourth-liner
19Bill ZonnonR, 19. Young for the league, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#22, 202560.83−19%57%19%9%Fourth-liner
20Casey MutrynR, 18. Young for the league, SteadyBoston CollegeNCAASEA#38, 202630.00−5%60%22%13%Fourth-liner
21Hunter HaightC, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyIowa WildAHLMIN#47, 202260.83+40%57%14%6%Fourth-liner
22Mason WestC, 19. Edgy, Young for the leagueMichigan State Univ.NCAACHI#29, 202530.00−7%54%12%2%Fourth-liner
23Mathis PrestonR, 18. Sniper, SteadyVancouver GiantsWHLANA#50, 202691.11+12%59%17%10%Fourth-liner
24Eduard SaleL, 21. Steady, HonestCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#20, 202370.57−14%66%11%4%Fourth-liner
25Liam GreentreeR, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#26, 202480.63+38%51%16%4%Fourth-liner
26Colby BarlowL, 21. Steady, HonestManitoba MooseAHLWPG#18, 202360.83−24%62%10%3%Fourth-liner
27Tanner HoweL, 20. Young for the league, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#46, 202460.33−23%57%15%4%Fourth-liner
28Oscar Fisker MolgaardC, 21. Steady, HonestCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#52, 202360.50054%11%4%Fourth-liner
29Reid SchaeferL, 22. Heavy, SniperMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#32, 2022330.85+1%50%8%8%Fourth-liner?
30Lucas PetterssonC, 20. Young for the league, SteadySan Diego GullsAHLANA#35, 202460.50+9%51%12%11%Fourth-liner
31Charlie CerratoC, 21. Playmaker, SteadyPenn State Univ.NCAACAR#49, 2025231.17+4%56%9%4%Fourth-liner?
32Nathan GaucherC, 22. Edgy, HeavySan Diego GullsAHLANA#22, 202250.60+12%52%10%3%Fourth-liner
33Ryder CaliC, 18. Young for the league, HeavyProvidence CollegeNCAAFLA#48, 202630.67−1%52%11%2%Fourth-liner
34Kasper HalttunenR, 21. Carrying a team, Volume shooterBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#36, 202371.14+19%58%8%2%Fourth-liner
35William StromgrenL, 23. Playmaker, SteadyCalgary WranglersAHLCGY#45, 202171.14−12%55%6%3%Fourth-liner
36Owen BeckC, 22. Stacked roster, SteadyLaval RocketAHLMTL#33, 202240.25−27%52%4%2%Fourth-liner
37Amadeus LombardiC, 23. Steady, HonestGrand Rapids GriffinsAHLNJD#113, 2022470.89−10%51%2%<1%Fourth-liner

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.