GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Eric PohlkampD, 22. Steady, HonestSan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#132, 202360.83−4%28%3%<1%AHLer
2Sean BehrensD, 23. Steady, HonestColorado EaglesAHLCOL#61, 202160.33+8%29%4%<1%AHLer
3Ben MacBeathD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyUniv. of DenverNCAANYR#64, 202640.25−1%24%5%2%AHLer
4Topias VilenD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyUtica CometsAHLNJD#129, 202140.75+23%31%3%<1%AHLer
5Artem GoncharD, 19. Steady, HonestSudbury WolvesOHLNYR#89, 202580.63−19%30%4%2%AHLer
6Aleksi HeimosalmiD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyChicago WolvesAHLCAR#44, 202160.17+44%34%2%<1%AHLer
7Colin RalphD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#48, 202460.00+22%39%2%<1%AHLer
8Jack PeartD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyIowa WildAHLMIN#54, 202170.43+24%35%1%<1%AHLer
9Mattias HavelidD, 22. Steady, HonestSan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#45, 202250.00−5%34%<1%<1%AHLer
10Luke SchairerD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyBoston CollegeNCAASTL#75, 202620.00−7%31%2%<1%AHLer
11Cam AllenD, 21. Steady, HonestHershey BearsAHLWSH#136, 202351.00+2%28%2%<1%AHLer?
12Finn HardingD, 21. Heavy, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#223, 202450.20−24%26%3%<1%AHLer
13Caden PriceD, 21. Young for the league, Stacked rosterCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#84, 202340.50−19%28%2%<1%AHLer
14Ludvig JanssonD, 22. Volume shooter, SteadyCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#125, 202210.00+23%27%1%<1%AHLer?
15Marc-Andre GaudetD, 22. Carrying a team, SteadySpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#152, 202240.50+22%23%1%<1%AHLer
16Jorian DonovanD, 22. Steady, HonestBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#136, 202250.00024%1%<1%AHLer
17Mikhail GulyayevD, 21. Rising, PlaymakerAvangard OmskKHLCOL#31, 2023150.53+3%23%2%2%AHLer
18Chase CheslockD, 21. Heavy, SteadyUniv. of St. ThomasNCAANJD#154, 202321.00+5%24%1%<1%AHLer
19Bryce PickfordD, 20. Sniper, Stacked rosterMedicine Hat TigersWHLMTL#81, 2025551.51−21%28%5%<1%AHLer
20Jayden KurtzD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyChicago SteelUSHLANA#45, 202650.00+11%20%2%<1%AHLer?
21Kaden HammellD, 21. Stacked roster, SteadyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#148, 202360.00−19%26%<1%<1%AHLer
22Aron KiviharjuD, 20. Undersized, SteadyHIFKLIIGAMIN#122, 202470.57+4%21%3%<1%AHLer
23Emil PieniniemiD, 21. Steady, HonestWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLFLA#91, 202390.33−4%24%2%<1%AHLer?
24Chase PietilaD, 22. Edgy, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#111, 202450.40−24%19%1%<1%AHLer
25Jake FurlongD, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#140, 202250.00+36%22%<1%<1%AHLer
26Daniil OrlovD, 22. Steady, HonestSpartak MoskvaKHLNJD#110, 2022140.50+8%17%3%1%AHLer
27Hoyt StanleyD, 21. Heavy, SteadyBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#108, 202350.40023%1%<1%AHLer
28Michael BuchingerD, 22. Carrying a team, SteadySpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#88, 202250.20+27%15%<1%<1%AHLer
29Peyton KettlesD, 19. Edgy, Big frameKelowna RocketsWHLPIT#39, 202590.44−4%19%<1%<1%AHLer?
30Noel FransénD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueChicago WolvesAHLCAR#69, 202460.17+44%18%3%1%AHLer
31Vladislav LukashevichD, 23. Playmaker, SteadyMiami Univ. (Ohio)NCAAFLA#120, 2021330.64+9%24%<1%<1%AHLer?
32Gabriel EliassonD, 20. Young for the league, HeavyBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#39, 202410.00018%<1%<1%AHLer
33Drew FortescueD, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#90, 202380.00+28%23%1%<1%AHLer
34Marek AlscherD, 22. Edgy, HeavyCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#93, 202260.17+23%16%<1%<1%AHLer
35Viggo GustafssonD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#77, 202430.33+10%18%2%<1%AHLer
36Tomas HamaraD, 22. Steady, HonestBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#87, 202240.25017%<1%<1%AHLer
37Jackson DorringtonD, 22. Carrying a team, HeavyHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#176, 202260.00+28%15%<1%<1%AHLer
38Charles Alexis LegaultD, 23. Edgy, Carrying a teamChicago WolvesAHLCAR#139, 202340.00+44%18%<1%<1%AHLer?
39Tarin SmithD, 20. Playmaker, Stacked rosterEverett SilvertipsWHLANA#79, 2024651.09−19%17%2%2%AHLer
40Quinton BurnsD, 21. Edgy, Carrying a teamSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#74, 202360.17+22%14%1%<1%AHLer
41Vsevolod KomarovD, 22. Edgy, HeavyRochester AmericansAHLBUF#134, 202260.50−4%13%<1%<1%AHLer

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.