GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Marc RuggereD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBarrie ColtsOHL–50.20+44%48%19%6%AHLer?
2Jay NimchonokRD, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBrampton SteelheadsOHL–50.20+26%44%10%9%AHLer?
3Malik L'ItalienD, 17. Rising, Young for the leagueHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL–101.00+2%35%16%7%AHLer
4Jevin MorrisonD, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueWenatchee WildWHL–90.11+44%46%9%6%AHLer?
5Parker DeraneyLD, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leaguePenticton VeesWHL–80.25+20%44%8%6%AHLer?
6Declan McNallyD, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBarrie ColtsOHL–110.09+44%32%9%9%AHLer?
7Cooper McAslanD, 17. Steady, HonestLondon KnightsOHL–91.00−13%44%9%3%AHLer?
8Matthew HendersonD, 17. Steady, HonestKingston FrontenacsOHL–120.25−15%33%12%5%AHLer
9Mark PritchinD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–110.36+12%25%17%5%AHLer?
10Yuri VlasenkoD, 16. Young for the league, SteadySwift Current BroncosWHL–110.27+10%33%8%3%AHLer?
11Zack NaishD, 16. Young for the league, Big frameNiagara IceDogsOHL–10.00+5%34%8%4%AHLer?
12Justin BeaulieuD, 17. Rising, Young for the leagueRimouski OcéanicQMJHL–110.82−22%28%15%2%AHLer
13Max FransenD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueOwen Sound AttackOHL–110.27+32%30%5%5%AHLer?
14Xavier VilleneuveD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyBlainville-Boisbriand ArmadaQMJHL–371.03−15%28%9%1%AHLer
15Antoine St-LaurentD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–120.83+15%25%10%2%AHLer
16Zach NymanD, 18. Carrying a team, UndersizedBrampton SteelheadsOHL–100.30+26%38%4%2%AHLer
17David BuchmanD, 17. Rising, Young for the leagueBrantford BulldogsOHL–120.83−8%27%8%3%AHLer?
18Hunter AuraD, 18. Rising, SteadyCalgary HitmenWHL–90.89−17%28%5%<1%AHLer
19Caleb MitchellD, 18. Steady, HonestLondon KnightsOHL–90.33−17%35%2%2%AHLer
20Kyle HegerLD, 18. Steady, HonestLethbridge HurricanesWHL–110.55−2%29%4%1%AHLer
21Lucas AmbrosioD, 18. Carrying a team, EdgyErie OttersOHL–100.50+28%37%<1%<1%AHLer
22Luca MarrelliD, 20. Young for the league, SteadyCleveland MonstersAHL–60.50−14%28%3%<1%AHLer
23Odin VauhkonenD, 18. Rising, PlaymakerVictoria RoyalsWHL–91.11−19%28%4%2%AHLer
24Arsenii AnisimovD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyPrince George CougarsWHL–70.57+31%27%3%<1%AHLer
25Anthony TimmermanLD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueOshawa GeneralsOHL–110.18+34%22%8%2%AHLer
26Ondrej RumlD, 18. Rising, SniperOttawa 67'sOHL–91.11+4%30%4%2%AHLer
27Cole EmertonD, 18. Rising, PlaymakerSarnia StingOHL–121.17−8%28%3%2%AHLer
28Noah ChadwickD, 21. Young for the league, HeavyToronto MarliesAHL–50.40−19%26%1%<1%AHLer
29Nate YellowagaD, 18. Edgy, SteadyVictoria RoyalsWHL–90.44−21%27%5%2%AHLer
30Kaden AucoinD, 17. Edgy, Young for the leagueSarnia StingOHL–70.00−12%22%9%2%AHLer
31Sean Matthew GoyetteD, 18. Edgy, Carrying a teamBrampton SteelheadsOHL–20.00+26%32%3%1%AHLer?
32Will McLaughlinD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyPortland WinterhawksWHL–70.29+22%29%2%1%AHLer
33Will ScottRD, 18. Steady, HonestLethbridge HurricanesWHL–110.27027%3%<1%AHLer
34Artem DudaD, 22. Steady, HonestTucson RoadrunnersAHL–60.50+2%23%4%<1%AHLer
35Giorgos PantelasRD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyPenticton VeesWHL–100.20+20%29%2%1%AHLer
36Vladimir DraveckyD, 18. Rising, PlaymakerGuelph StormOHL–91.56−16%30%2%<1%AHLer
37Carter HicksD, 18. Carrying a team, RisingBrampton SteelheadsOHL–100.40+26%29%1%1%AHLer
38Grayson TashD, 17. Rising, Carrying a teamSeattle ThunderbirdsWHL–80.75+15%24%7%<1%AHLer
39Kashawn AitchesonD, 19. Young for the league, SteadyHamilton HammersAHL–60.17−2%21%7%<1%AHLer
40A.J. GladmanD, 17. Carrying a team, HeavyErie OttersOHL–40.25+24%22%2%2%AHLer?
41Genc UlaD, 17. Edgy, RisingSudbury WolvesOHL–100.40−16%20%3%2%AHLer
42Maveric LamoureuxD, 22. Heavy, PlaymakerTucson RoadrunnersAHL–650.31021%<1%<1%AHLer
43Callum CroskeryD, 18. Steady, HonestSoo GreyhoundsOHL–90.56028%1%<1%AHLer
44Alexander BileckiLD, 18. Rising, PlaymakerKitchener RangersOHL–111.00+17%19%2%2%AHLer
45Nikita NovikovD, 23. Heavy, PlaymakerOntario ReignAHL–640.31−1%21%<1%<1%AHLer
46Benjamin Cossette AyotteD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyVal-d'Or ForeursQMJHL–120.75−14%20%3%1%AHLer
47Grady PichetteRD, 17. Steady, HonestLethbridge HurricanesWHL–80.13−2%23%2%2%AHLer
48Dmitry KuzminD, 23. Steady, HonestRockford IceHogsAHL–460.33+7%23%1%<1%AHLer
49Angus BoothD, 22. Steady, HonestOntario ReignAHL–50.40019%<1%<1%AHLer
50Tomas KralovicD, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSyracuse CrunchAHL–50.20+23%24%2%<1%AHLer?
51Filip KovalcikD, 17. Carrying a team, RisingDrummondville VoltigeursQMJHL–110.45+41%18%4%1%AHLer
52Ethan SamsonD, 23. Edgy, Stacked rosterLaval RocketAHL–50.00−27%18%<1%<1%AHLer
53Alexandre TailleferD, 18. Rising, PlaymakerQuébec RempartsQMJHL–91.44−19%18%3%1%AHLer
54Dominik BadinkaD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueChicago WolvesAHL–40.25+44%17%1%<1%AHLer
55Henry BrzustewiczD, 19. Young for the league, HeavyOntario ReignAHL–30.00017%3%<1%AHLer
56Andrew RobinsonD, 18. Rising, PlaymakerWindsor SpitfiresOHL–81.13+3%19%1%<1%AHLer
57Jiri KamasD, 18. Rising, SteadyRed Deer RebelsWHL–110.64−19%17%2%<1%AHLer
58Brek LiskeD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyEverett SilvertipsWHL–90.44+44%17%1%<1%AHLer
59Luka GrazianoD, 18. Rising, SteadyFlint FirebirdsOHL–90.67−8%16%<1%<1%AHLer
60Blake GowanD, 18. Edgy, SteadyBlainville-Boisbriand ArmadaQMJHL–60.33+12%14%<1%<1%AHLer
61Blake SmithD, 21. Heavy, Stacked rosterToronto MarliesAHL–20.00−21%13%<1%<1%AHLer
62Viliam KmecD, 22. Heavy, SteadyHenderson Silver KnightsAHL–50.60+6%11%<1%<1%AHLer
63Shai BuiumD, 23. Heavy, SteadyGrand Rapids GriffinsAHL–70.57−9%14%<1%<1%AHLer
64Brayden HislopD, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHL–10.00+36%15%<1%<1%AHLer?
65Josh TollLD, 19. Carrying a team, PlaymakerWenatchee WildWHL–670.81+31%14%3%<1%AHLer
66Chas SharpeD, 22. Steady, HonestToronto MarliesAHL–330.27013%<1%<1%AHLer?
67Jakub DvořákD, 21. Young for the league, HeavyOntario ReignAHL–450.16−2%12%<1%<1%AHLer
68Braden HacheD, 23. Heavy, Stacked rosterLaval RocketAHL–60.17−27%10%<1%<1%AHLer
69Joe ArntsenD, 23. Edgy, HeavyAbbotsford CanucksAHL–50.20−12%11%<1%<1%AHLer
70Mikael DiotteD, 23. Carrying a team, HeavyUtica CometsAHLNJD30.00+23%8%<1%<1%AHLer
71Olivier DuhamelD, 18. Playmaker, SteadySaint John Sea DogsQMJHL–580.45+3%10%1%<1%AHLer
72Artem GrushnikovD, 23. Steady, HonestCalgary WranglersAHL–550.0403%<1%<1%AHLer

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.