GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Oiva KeskinenC, 22. Steady, HonestCleveland MonstersAHLCBJ#194, 202360.67−13%20%11%<1%Long shot
2Caleb DesnoyersF, 19. Young for the league, SteadyTucson RoadrunnersAHL–60.50+5%18%9%1%Long shot
3Brady MartinC, 19. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueMilwaukee AdmiralsAHL–40.75+25%21%7%<1%Long shot?
4Alex WeiermairF, 21. Young for the league, HeavyHenderson Silver KnightsAHL–50.20+8%17%6%1%Long shot
5Aram MinnetianD, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyTexas StarsAHLDAL#125, 202360.33+17%23%1%<1%Long shot
6Gregor BiberD, 20. Young for the league, SteadyTucson RoadrunnersAHL–60.33024%<1%<1%Long shot?
7Braeden CootesC, 19. Young for the league, SteadyAbbotsford CanucksAHL–61.00−4%16%6%1%Long shot
8Jett LuchankoF, 20. Young for the league, SteadyLehigh Valley PhantomsAHL–61.00−8%17%5%<1%Long shot
9Jake LivanavageD, 22. Stacked roster, SteadyWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT51.00−23%20%1%<1%Long shot
10Leo Sahlin WalleniusD, 20. Young for the league, SteadySan Jose BarracudaAHL–60.33−5%21%<1%<1%Long shot?
11Stevie LeskovarD, 22. Edgy, Carrying a teamIowa WildAHL–20.00+24%18%1%<1%Long shot?
12Gabe SmithF, 20. Young for the league, HeavyTucson RoadrunnersAHL–60.67014%4%<1%Long shot
13Melvin FernströmR, 20. Young for the league, HeavyWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#93, 202430.33−23%10%3%<1%Long shot
14Gavin McCarthyD, 21. Young for the league, EdgyRochester AmericansAHL–50.40−4%16%1%<1%Long shot?
15Arseni KoromyslovD, 22. Carrying a team, SteadySpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#120, 202260.17+22%13%2%<1%Long shot
16Lucas EllinasL, 20. Young for the league, HeavyBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#104, 202440.00015%1%<1%Long shot?
17Anthony (AJ) SpellacyR, 20. Young for the league, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#72, 202460.00+4%13%2%<1%Long shot
18Petr SikoraC, 20. Young for the league, EdgyHershey BearsAHLWSH#178, 202460.17010%1%<1%Long shot?
19Vojtech ČihařLW, 19. Young for the league, SteadyOntario ReignAHL–40.25012%4%<1%Long shot
20Vinny BorgesiD, 22. Undersized, Stacked rosterToronto MarliesAHL–31.33−19%14%<1%<1%Long shot?
21Sloan StanickF, 23. Steady, HonestHenderson Silver KnightsAHL–20.00+4%12%1%<1%Long shot?
22Alexis BernierD, 20. Young for the league, HeavyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#73, 202440.00−19%13%3%<1%Long shot?
23Radim MrtkaD, 19. Young for the league, HeavyRochester AmericansAHL–60.00−4%15%2%<1%Long shot
24Ilya PautovLW, 20. Young for the league, SteadyLehigh Valley PhantomsAHL–60.17−13%15%<1%<1%Long shot?
25William NichollC, 20. Young for the league, SteadyBakersfield CondorsAHL–50.40012%1%<1%Long shot
26Zac FunkLW, 23. Steady, HonestRochester AmericansAHL–30.33−1%12%<1%<1%Long shot?
27Miroslav HolinkaC, 20. Young for the league, Stacked rosterToronto MarliesAHL–40.25−19%9%3%<1%Long shot
28Nikita SusuyevF, 21. Carrying a team, SteadySpringfield ThunderbirdsAHL–30.00+22%9%<1%<1%Long shot
29Ryan HoferC, 20. Young for the league, SteadyHershey BearsAHL–110.09+3%12%<1%<1%Long shot?
30Attilio BiascaF, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyProvidence BruinsAHL–60.00+28%12%1%<1%Long shot?
31Jack MatierD, 23. Big frame, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHL–240.25−2%13%<1%<1%Long shot?
32Loke JohanssonD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueProvidence BruinsAHL–40.00+28%15%<1%<1%Long shot?
33Kenta IsogaiF, 22. Steady, HonestOntario ReignAHL–280.21−2%11%<1%<1%Long shot?
34Phillip SinnD, 22. Steady, HonestSan Jose BarracudaAHL–60.33−5%13%<1%<1%Long shot?
35Riley KidneyC, 23. Steady, HonestBelleville SenatorsAHL–110.27−1%11%<1%<1%Long shot?
36Eddie GenborgF, 19. Young for the league, SteadyGrand Rapids GriffinsAHL–110.27−13%8%1%<1%Long shot?
37Matthew AndonovskiD, 21. Edgy, HeavyBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#140, 202350.00013%<1%<1%Long shot
38Jackson EdwardD, 22. Edgy, SteadyLehigh Valley PhantomsAHL–50.20−13%10%<1%<1%Long shot?
39Otto SalinD, 22. Steady, HonestOntario ReignAHL–430.12−2%10%<1%<1%Long shot
40Brayden EdwardsC, 21. Stacked roster, SteadyWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHL–40.00−24%12%<1%<1%Long shot?
41Abram WiebeD, 23. Heavy, SteadyCalgary WranglersAHL–70.43−16%12%<1%<1%Long shot?
42Landon SimF, 22. Edgy, Stacked rosterToronto MarliesAHL–60.17−19%9%<1%<1%Long shot?
43Tomas CibulkaD, 22. Steady, HonestBakersfield CondorsAHL–50.20012%<1%<1%Long shot?
44Luke MistelbacherRW, 20. Young for the league, SteadyBelleville SenatorsAHL–10.0006%3%<1%Long shot
45Justin JanickeF, 23. Steady, HonestCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHL–110.18−6%10%<1%<1%Long shot?
46Tomas LavoieD, 20. Young for the league, HeavyTucson RoadrunnersAHL–60.17+2%9%2%<1%Long shot
47Davis BurnsideF, 22. Steady, HonestManitoba MooseAHL–60.33−27%10%<1%<1%Long shot?
48Charlie PaquetteF, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueTexas StarsAHL–30.00+13%9%2%<1%Long shot
49Konnor SmithD, 21. Heavy, SteadySan Diego GullsAHL–40.00+9%11%<1%<1%Long shot?
50Ryden EversL, 21. Young for the league, HeavyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA50.20−17%8%2%<1%Long shot
51Red SavageC, 23. Steady, HonestRochester AmericansAHL–50.40−1%8%<1%<1%Long shot
52Boston BuckbergerD, 23. Steady, HonestCleveland MonstersAHL–60.33−13%10%<1%<1%Long shot?
53Tyler KopffC, 23. Heavy, SteadyRochester AmericansAHLWSH300.17−4%7%<1%<1%Long shot?
54Marcel MarcelF, 22. Heavy, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHL–130.08+6%6%<1%<1%Long shot?
55A.J. SpellacyF, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueRockford IceHogsAHL–60.00+36%8%1%<1%Long shot
56Rhett ParsonsD, 23. Heavy, SteadyToronto MarliesAHL–80.1308%<1%<1%Long shot?
57Owen ProtzD, 20. Young for the league, EdgyLaval RocketAHLMTL#102, 202450.00−27%8%<1%<1%Long shot
58Spencer GillD, 20. Young for the league, HeavyLehigh Valley PhantomsAHL–60.50−13%9%<1%<1%Long shot?
59Djibril ToureD, 23. Heavy, SteadyBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT50.2007%<1%<1%Long shot
60Connor ClattenburgLW, 21. Edgy, Young for the leagueBakersfield CondorsAHL–40.25+3%5%<1%<1%Long shot
61Cooper FlintonLW, 23. Carrying a team, HeavySyracuse CrunchAHL–40.00+23%4%<1%<1%Long shot
62Justice ChristensenD, 21. Young for the league, UndersizedGrand Rapids GriffinsAHL–70.14−9%6%1%<1%Long shot
63Charlie WrightD, 22. Stacked roster, SteadyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHL–30.00−19%3%<1%<1%Long shot
64Artur CholachD, 23. Steady, HonestHenderson Silver KnightsAHL–100.20−16%7%<1%<1%Long shot?
65Viking Gustafsson NybergD, 22. Carrying a team, HeavyIowa WildAHLMIN70.14+29%8%<1%<1%Long shot
66Jared WoolleyD, 20. Young for the league, EdgyOntario ReignAHL–30.0006%<1%<1%Long shot
67Matvei ShuravinD, 20. Young for the league, HeavyCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#97, 202460.00+23%5%<1%<1%Long shot
68Matt CopponiC, 23. Steady, HonestBakersfield CondorsAHLEDM#216, 2023290.10−7%4%<1%<1%Long shot?
69Connor PunnettD, 23. Steady, HonestTexas StarsAHLDAL180.11+4%6%<1%<1%Long shot?
70Ben DanfordD, 20. Young for the league, Stacked rosterToronto MarliesAHL–50.40−21%7%<1%<1%Long shot
71Josh BloomLW, 23. Steady, HonestBakersfield CondorsAHL–220.14−7%4%<1%<1%Long shot?
72Sawyer BoultonF, 22. Heavy, SteadyLehigh Valley PhantomsAHL–160.06+6%5%<1%<1%Long shot?
73Carter WilkieC, 22. Heavy, SteadyCalgary WranglersAHL–50.00−16%4%<1%<1%Long shot
74Josh DaviesLW, 22. Steady, HonestMilwaukee AdmiralsAHL–150.07−2%3%<1%<1%Long shot?
75Charlie ElickD, 20. Young for the league, HeavyCleveland MonstersAHL–60.50−13%5%<1%<1%Long shot
76Jaxon FuderC, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueTexas StarsAHLDAL20.00+13%4%<1%<1%Long shot
77Maleek McGowanD, 21. Young for the league, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT10.00−24%6%<1%<1%Long shot
78Alex CiernikL, 21. Steady, HonestLehigh Valley PhantomsAHLPHI#120, 202340.00−13%4%<1%<1%Long shot
79Jake ChiassonRW, 23. Steady, HonestLaval RocketAHL–200.05−4%3%<1%<1%Long shot?
80Axel HurtigD, 21. Young for the league, EdgyCalgary WranglersAHLCGY#208, 202370.43−11%3%<1%<1%Long shot
81Ashton CumbyD, 21. Edgy, Carrying a teamRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#162, 202510.00+36%3%<1%<1%Long shot

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.