GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Marek VanackerL, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#27, 202460.00+36%48%14%3%Tweener
2Matias VanhanenL, 19. Young for the league, EdgyBoston CollegeNCAANJD#37, 202631.00−5%47%17%6%Tweener
3Markus RuckC, 18. Steady, HonestMedicine Hat TigersWHLPIT#39, 202671.29−2%40%16%7%Tweener
4Pierce MbuyiL, 18. Carrying a team, EdgyOwen Sound AttackOHLPIT#86, 2026111.18+39%38%18%3%Tweener
5Brad LambertC, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyManitoba MooseAHLWPG#30, 2022340.38+27%43%5%2%Tweener
6Cam LundC, 22. Steady, HonestSan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#34, 2022370.68−5%48%6%3%Tweener
7Dmitri BuchelnikovL, 23. Steady, HonestCSKA MoskvaKHLSTL#52, 2022160.44−3%34%13%12%Tweener
8Gracyn SawchynC, 21. Steady, HonestCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#63, 202360.33+23%41%7%4%Tweener
9Luca CagnoniD, 21. Playmaker, UndersizedSan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#123, 2023670.64−5%49%7%1%Tweener
10Juraj PekarcikL, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#76, 202360.00+22%41%9%2%Tweener
11Jayson ShaugabayR, 21. Playmaker, UndersizedUniv. of Minnesota-DuluthNCAATBL#115, 202361.50+5%44%6%2%Tweener
12Tyson JugnauthD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#100, 202271.71−15%45%7%1%Tweener
13Denver BarkeyC, 21. Young for the league, SteadyLehigh Valley PhantomsAHLPHI#95, 2023260.62+7%45%6%2%Tweener?
14Jaxon CoverR, 18. Volume shooter, SteadyLondon KnightsOHLOTT#32, 202661.17−12%43%8%3%Tweener
15Gavin HayesL, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#66, 202260.83+43%37%10%3%Tweener
16Sandis VilmanisL, 22. Steady, HonestCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#157, 2022480.79+8%43%3%1%Tweener
17Tristan BertucciD, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueTexas StarsAHLDAL#61, 202350.40+17%45%9%1%Tweener
18Ryan UfkoD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#115, 202140.25+10%48%3%2%Tweener
19Adam EngstromD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyLaval RocketAHLMTL#92, 2022450.76−2%43%3%2%Tweener
20Matthew SeminoffR, 22. Carrying a team, Volume shooterTexas StarsAHLDAL#179, 202260.83+16%40%2%<1%Tweener
21Alex BumpL, 22. Volume shooter, Carrying a teamLehigh Valley PhantomsAHLPHI#133, 202251.60+15%39%2%2%Tweener
22Ethan GauthierR, 21. Carrying a team, SteadySyracuse CrunchAHLTBL#37, 202350.20+23%47%4%<1%Tweener
23Teddy StigaC, 20. Steady, HonestBoston CollegeNCAANSH#55, 202430.33−5%42%4%2%Tweener
24Corson CeulemansD, 23. Steady, HonestCleveland MonstersAHLCBJ#25, 202160.50−14%43%4%<1%Tweener
25Malcolm SpenceL, 19. Edgy, SteadyUniv. of MichiganNCAANYR#43, 202561.17−3%40%5%3%Tweener
26Jack DevineR, 22. Carrying a team, Volume shooterCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#221, 202260.67+36%43%3%<1%Tweener
27John MustardC, 20. Steady, HonestProvidence CollegeNCAACHI#67, 202430.67−3%37%7%1%Tweener
28Lukas FischerD, 20. Carrying a team, EdgySpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#56, 202450.00+22%44%5%2%Tweener
29Matyas SapovalivC, 22. Carrying a team, Big frameHenderson Silver KnightsAHLVGK#48, 202250.80+16%43%4%1%Tweener
30Ben HemmerlingR, 22. Edgy, SteadyHenderson Silver KnightsAHLVGK#177, 202220.50+4%36%4%1%Tweener
31Alfons FreijD, 20. Young for the league, SteadyManitoba MooseAHLWPG#37, 202460.50−26%41%3%<1%Tweener
32John MooneyC, 19. Edgy, Young for the leagueUniv. of MinnesotaNCAAMTL#113, 202520.00−1%35%6%2%Tweener
33Filip MesarR, 22. Stacked roster, SteadyLaval RocketAHLMTL#26, 202260.67−24%32%3%<1%Tweener
34Frederic BrunetD, 23. Steady, HonestProvidence BruinsAHLBOS#132, 2022650.55−2%36%2%<1%Tweener
35Andrew GibsonD, 21. Carrying a team, HeavyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#42, 202340.00+10%43%2%<1%Tweener
36Lukas DragicevicD, 21. Edgy, Young for the leagueCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#57, 202370.29−19%44%2%<1%Tweener
37Simas IgnataviciusR, 18. Young for the league, SteadyGenève-Servette HCNLFLA#40, 2026130.08+14%34%2%2%Tweener
38Lasse BoeliusD, 19. Young for the league, PlaymakerÄssätLIIGAANA#60, 2025400.20+14%41%2%<1%Tweener
39Ryan ChesleyD, 22. Steady, HonestHershey BearsAHLWSH#37, 202260.33−3%37%1%<1%Tweener
40Etienne MorinD, 21. Steady, HonestCalgary WranglersAHLNJD#48, 2023420.17042%2%<1%Tweener
41Beau AkeyD, 21. Steady, HonestBakersfield CondorsAHLEDM#56, 202340.00040%1%<1%Tweener
42Blake FiddlerD, 19. Young for the league, HeavyUniv. of DenverNCAASEA#36, 202540.00−1%35%<1%<1%Tweener

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.