GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Eric PohlkampD, 22. Steady, HonestSan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#132, 202360.83−4%28%3%<1%AHLer
2Sean BehrensD, 23. Steady, HonestColorado EaglesAHLCOL#61, 202160.33+8%29%4%<1%AHLer
3Topias VilenD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyUtica CometsAHLNJD#129, 202140.75+23%31%3%<1%AHLer
4Aleksi HeimosalmiD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyChicago WolvesAHLCAR#44, 202160.17+44%34%2%<1%AHLer
5Colin RalphD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#48, 202460.00+22%39%2%<1%AHLer
6Jack PeartD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyIowa WildAHLMIN#54, 202170.43+24%35%1%<1%AHLer
7Luca MarrelliD, 20. Young for the league, SteadyCleveland MonstersAHL–60.50−14%28%3%<1%AHLer
8Mattias HavelidD, 22. Steady, HonestSan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#45, 202250.00−5%34%<1%<1%AHLer
9Cam AllenD, 21. Steady, HonestHershey BearsAHLWSH#136, 202351.00+2%28%2%<1%AHLer?
10Finn HardingD, 21. Heavy, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#223, 202450.20−24%26%3%<1%AHLer
11Caden PriceD, 21. Young for the league, Stacked rosterCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#84, 202340.50−19%28%2%<1%AHLer
12Noah ChadwickD, 21. Young for the league, HeavyToronto MarliesAHL–50.40−19%26%1%<1%AHLer
13Ludvig JanssonD, 22. Volume shooter, SteadyCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#125, 202210.00+23%27%1%<1%AHLer?
14Marc-Andre GaudetD, 22. Carrying a team, SteadySpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#152, 202240.50+22%23%1%<1%AHLer
15Jorian DonovanD, 22. Steady, HonestBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#136, 202250.00024%1%<1%AHLer
16Artem DudaD, 22. Steady, HonestTucson RoadrunnersAHL–60.50+2%23%4%<1%AHLer
17Kashawn AitchesonD, 19. Young for the league, SteadyHamilton HammersAHL–60.17−2%21%7%<1%AHLer
18Kaden HammellD, 21. Stacked roster, SteadyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#148, 202360.00−19%26%<1%<1%AHLer
19Maveric LamoureuxD, 22. Heavy, PlaymakerTucson RoadrunnersAHL–650.31021%<1%<1%AHLer
20Nikita NovikovD, 23. Heavy, PlaymakerOntario ReignAHL–640.31−1%21%<1%<1%AHLer
21Emil PieniniemiD, 21. Steady, HonestWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLFLA#91, 202390.33−4%24%2%<1%AHLer?
22Chase PietilaD, 22. Edgy, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#111, 202450.40−24%19%1%<1%AHLer
23Jake FurlongD, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#140, 202250.00+36%22%<1%<1%AHLer
24Dmitry KuzminD, 23. Steady, HonestRockford IceHogsAHL–460.33+7%23%1%<1%AHLer
25Angus BoothD, 22. Steady, HonestOntario ReignAHL–50.40019%<1%<1%AHLer
26Tomas KralovicD, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSyracuse CrunchAHL–50.20+23%24%2%<1%AHLer?
27Ethan SamsonD, 23. Edgy, Stacked rosterLaval RocketAHL–50.00−27%18%<1%<1%AHLer
28Hoyt StanleyD, 21. Heavy, SteadyBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#108, 202350.40023%1%<1%AHLer
29Michael BuchingerD, 22. Carrying a team, SteadySpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#88, 202250.20+27%15%<1%<1%AHLer
30Noel FransénD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueChicago WolvesAHLCAR#69, 202460.17+44%18%3%1%AHLer
31Dominik BadinkaD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueChicago WolvesAHL–40.25+44%17%1%<1%AHLer
32Gabriel EliassonD, 20. Young for the league, HeavyBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#39, 202410.00018%<1%<1%AHLer
33Drew FortescueD, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#90, 202380.00+28%23%1%<1%AHLer
34Marek AlscherD, 22. Edgy, HeavyCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#93, 202260.17+23%16%<1%<1%AHLer
35Viggo GustafssonD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#77, 202430.33+10%18%2%<1%AHLer
36Tomas HamaraD, 22. Steady, HonestBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#87, 202240.25017%<1%<1%AHLer
37Jackson DorringtonD, 22. Carrying a team, HeavyHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#176, 202260.00+28%15%<1%<1%AHLer
38Henry BrzustewiczD, 19. Young for the league, HeavyOntario ReignAHL–30.00017%3%<1%AHLer
39Charles Alexis LegaultD, 23. Edgy, Carrying a teamChicago WolvesAHLCAR#139, 202340.00+44%18%<1%<1%AHLer?
40Quinton BurnsD, 21. Edgy, Carrying a teamSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#74, 202360.17+22%14%1%<1%AHLer
41Vsevolod KomarovD, 22. Edgy, HeavyRochester AmericansAHLBUF#134, 202260.50−4%13%<1%<1%AHLer
42Blake SmithD, 21. Heavy, Stacked rosterToronto MarliesAHL–20.00−21%13%<1%<1%AHLer
43Viliam KmecD, 22. Heavy, SteadyHenderson Silver KnightsAHL–50.60+6%11%<1%<1%AHLer
44Shai BuiumD, 23. Heavy, SteadyGrand Rapids GriffinsAHL–70.57−9%14%<1%<1%AHLer
45Brayden HislopD, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHL–10.00+36%15%<1%<1%AHLer?
46Chas SharpeD, 22. Steady, HonestToronto MarliesAHL–330.27013%<1%<1%AHLer?
47Jakub DvořákD, 21. Young for the league, HeavyOntario ReignAHL–450.16−2%12%<1%<1%AHLer
48Braden HacheD, 23. Heavy, Stacked rosterLaval RocketAHL–60.17−27%10%<1%<1%AHLer
49Joe ArntsenD, 23. Edgy, HeavyAbbotsford CanucksAHL–50.20−12%11%<1%<1%AHLer
50Mikael DiotteD, 23. Carrying a team, HeavyUtica CometsAHLNJD30.00+23%8%<1%<1%AHLer
51Artem GrushnikovD, 23. Steady, HonestCalgary WranglersAHL–550.0403%<1%<1%AHLer

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.