Prospect board
The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.
- First-liner2
- Top-pair1
- Middle-sixer4
- Second-pair1
- Fourth-liner11
- Third-pair3
- Tweener26
- AHLer182
- Long shot770
| # | Player | Team | Rights | GP | P/GP | Context | NHL odds | Top odds | Elite odds | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marek VanackerL, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the league | Rockford IceHogsAHL | CHI#27, 2024 | 6 | 0.00 | +36% | 48% | 14% | 3% | Tweener |
| 2 | Brad LambertC, 22. Carrying a team, Steady | Manitoba MooseAHL | WPG#30, 2022 | 34 | 0.38 | +27% | 43% | 5% | 2% | Tweener |
| 3 | Cam LundC, 22. Steady, Honest | San Jose BarracudaAHL | SJS#34, 2022 | 37 | 0.68 | −5% | 48% | 6% | 3% | Tweener |
| 4 | Gracyn SawchynC, 21. Steady, Honest | Charlotte CheckersAHL | FLA#63, 2023 | 6 | 0.33 | +23% | 41% | 7% | 4% | Tweener |
| 5 | Luca CagnoniD, 21. Playmaker, Undersized | San Jose BarracudaAHL | SJS#123, 2023 | 67 | 0.64 | −5% | 49% | 7% | 1% | Tweener |
| 6 | Juraj PekarcikL, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the league | Springfield ThunderbirdsAHL | STL#76, 2023 | 6 | 0.00 | +22% | 41% | 9% | 2% | Tweener |
| 7 | Tyson JugnauthD, 22. Playmaker, Steady | Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL | SEA#100, 2022 | 7 | 1.71 | −15% | 45% | 7% | 1% | Tweener |
| 8 | Denver BarkeyC, 21. Young for the league, Steady | Lehigh Valley PhantomsAHL | PHI#95, 2023 | 26 | 0.62 | +7% | 45% | 6% | 2% | Tweener? |
| 9 | Gavin HayesL, 22. Carrying a team, Steady | Rockford IceHogsAHL | CHI#66, 2022 | 6 | 0.83 | +43% | 37% | 10% | 3% | Tweener |
| 10 | Sandis VilmanisL, 22. Steady, Honest | Charlotte CheckersAHL | FLA#157, 2022 | 48 | 0.79 | +8% | 43% | 3% | 1% | Tweener |
| 11 | Tristan BertucciD, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the league | Texas StarsAHL | DAL#61, 2023 | 5 | 0.40 | +17% | 45% | 9% | 1% | Tweener |
| 12 | Ryan UfkoD, 23. Carrying a team, Steady | Milwaukee AdmiralsAHL | NSH#115, 2021 | 4 | 0.25 | +10% | 48% | 3% | 2% | Tweener |
| 13 | Adam EngstromD, 22. Playmaker, Steady | Laval RocketAHL | MTL#92, 2022 | 45 | 0.76 | −2% | 43% | 3% | 2% | Tweener |
| 14 | Matthew SeminoffR, 22. Carrying a team, Volume shooter | Texas StarsAHL | DAL#179, 2022 | 6 | 0.83 | +16% | 40% | 2% | <1% | Tweener |
| 15 | Alex BumpL, 22. Volume shooter, Carrying a team | Lehigh Valley PhantomsAHL | PHI#133, 2022 | 5 | 1.60 | +15% | 39% | 2% | 2% | Tweener |
| 16 | Ethan GauthierR, 21. Carrying a team, Steady | Syracuse CrunchAHL | TBL#37, 2023 | 5 | 0.20 | +23% | 47% | 4% | <1% | Tweener |
| 17 | Corson CeulemansD, 23. Steady, Honest | Cleveland MonstersAHL | CBJ#25, 2021 | 6 | 0.50 | −14% | 43% | 4% | <1% | Tweener |
| 18 | Aleksanteri KaskimäkiF, 22. Steady, Honest | Springfield ThunderbirdsAHL | – | 64 | 0.69 | +10% | 43% | 2% | <1% | Tweener |
| 19 | Jack DevineR, 22. Carrying a team, Volume shooter | Charlotte CheckersAHL | FLA#221, 2022 | 6 | 0.67 | +36% | 43% | 3% | <1% | Tweener |
| 20 | Luca PinelliLW, 21. Edgy, Undersized | Cleveland MonstersAHL | – | 6 | 1.00 | −7% | 39% | 4% | <1% | Tweener |
| 21 | Lukas FischerD, 20. Carrying a team, Edgy | Springfield ThunderbirdsAHL | STL#56, 2024 | 5 | 0.00 | +22% | 44% | 5% | 2% | Tweener |
| 22 | Matyas SapovalivC, 22. Carrying a team, Big frame | Henderson Silver KnightsAHL | VGK#48, 2022 | 5 | 0.80 | +16% | 43% | 4% | 1% | Tweener |
| 23 | Ben HemmerlingR, 22. Edgy, Steady | Henderson Silver KnightsAHL | VGK#177, 2022 | 2 | 0.50 | +4% | 36% | 4% | 1% | Tweener |
| 24 | Ty NelsonD, 22. Heavy, Playmaker | Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL | – | 63 | 0.56 | −3% | 37% | 4% | <1% | Tweener |
| 25 | Alfons FreijD, 20. Young for the league, Steady | Manitoba MooseAHL | WPG#37, 2024 | 6 | 0.50 | −26% | 41% | 3% | <1% | Tweener |
| 26 | Ivan MiroshnichenkoLW, 22. Heavy, Steady | Hershey BearsAHL | – | 41 | 0.83 | +7% | 36% | 2% | <1% | Tweener |
| 27 | Anton WahlbergLW, 21. Young for the league, Heavy | San Diego GullsAHL | – | 7 | 1.00 | +16% | 35% | 6% | <1% | Tweener |
| 28 | Filip MesarR, 22. Stacked roster, Steady | Laval RocketAHL | MTL#26, 2022 | 6 | 0.67 | −24% | 32% | 3% | <1% | Tweener |
| 29 | Frederic BrunetD, 23. Steady, Honest | Providence BruinsAHL | BOS#132, 2022 | 65 | 0.55 | −2% | 36% | 2% | <1% | Tweener |
| 30 | Zach L’HeureuxLW, 23. Sniper, Steady | Milwaukee AdmiralsAHL | – | 30 | 0.93 | +2% | 34% | 5% | 1% | Tweener? |
| 31 | Joshua RoyLW, 23. Steady, Honest | Tucson RoadrunnersAHL | – | 6 | 0.33 | 0 | 37% | 3% | 1% | Tweener |
| 32 | Sasha PastujovF, 23. Volume shooter, Sniper | Laval RocketAHL | – | 6 | 1.33 | −18% | 35% | 3% | <1% | Tweener |
| 33 | Andrew GibsonD, 21. Carrying a team, Heavy | Milwaukee AdmiralsAHL | NSH#42, 2023 | 4 | 0.00 | +10% | 43% | 2% | <1% | Tweener |
| 34 | Kevin KorchinskiD, 22. Playmaker, Steady | Rockford IceHogsAHL | – | 53 | 0.49 | +6% | 33% | 3% | <1% | Tweener |
| 35 | Lukas DragicevicD, 21. Edgy, Young for the league | Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL | SEA#57, 2023 | 7 | 0.29 | −19% | 44% | 2% | <1% | Tweener |
| 36 | Christian KyrouD, 23. Steady, Honest | Belleville SenatorsAHL | – | 6 | 0.67 | 0 | 35% | 2% | <1% | Tweener |
| 37 | Ryan ChesleyD, 22. Steady, Honest | Hershey BearsAHL | WSH#37, 2022 | 6 | 0.33 | −3% | 37% | 1% | <1% | Tweener |
| 38 | Etienne MorinD, 21. Steady, Honest | Calgary WranglersAHL | NJD#48, 2023 | 42 | 0.17 | 0 | 42% | 2% | <1% | Tweener |
| 39 | Beau AkeyD, 21. Steady, Honest | Bakersfield CondorsAHL | EDM#56, 2023 | 4 | 0.00 | 0 | 40% | 1% | <1% | Tweener |
| 40 | Sawyer MynioD, 21. Young for the league, Steady | Abbotsford CanucksAHL | – | 5 | 0.60 | −12% | 29% | 5% | <1% | Tweener |
| 41 | Kirill KudryavtsevD, 22. Steady, Honest | Abbotsford CanucksAHL | – | 3 | 1.00 | −12% | 29% | 3% | <1% | Tweener |
The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.