GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Milton GastrinC, 19. Young for the league, SteadyBrynäs IFSHLSTL#37, 202570.00+4%69%26%26%Fourth-liner
2Alexander CommandC, 18. Young for the league, SteadyÖrebro HKSHLNJD#12, 202650.00+4%79%25%15%Fourth-liner?
3Nick LardisL, 21. Carrying a team, Volume shooterRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#67, 202330.67+36%64%37%12%Fourth-liner
4Felix NilssonC, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#43, 202340.25+10%77%27%17%Fourth-liner
5Justin CarbonneauR, 19. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#19, 202560.67+32%83%32%13%Fourth-liner
6Felix Unger SörumR, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueChicago WolvesAHLCAR#62, 202340.25+44%63%36%7%Fourth-liner
7Roman KantserovR, 21. Undersized, SniperMetallurg MagnitogorskKHLCHI#44, 2023631.02+1%66%34%13%Fourth-liner
8Keaton ArdaghRW, 17. Carrying a team, RisingBrampton SteelheadsOHL–100.80+39%64%33%15%Fourth-liner
9Jaakko WyciskC, 17. Heavy, Stacked rosterGuelph StormOHL–110.64−20%53%39%19%Fourth-liner
10Jacob McKinnonLW, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBlainville-Boisbriand ArmadaQMJHL–120.92+25%55%43%10%Fourth-liner?
11Maddox SchultzC, 16. Young for the league, EdgyRegina PatsWHL–81.25−9%66%27%15%Fourth-liner
12Terik ParascakR, 20. Young for the league, SteadyHershey BearsAHLWSH#17, 202420.00−3%77%22%11%Fourth-liner
13Egor ShilovC, 18. Volume shooter, SteadyVictoriaville TigresQMJHL–111.36−3%60%32%18%Fourth-liner
14Andrew CristallL, 21. Playmaker, SteadyHershey BearsAHLWSH#40, 202361.33+2%73%21%5%Fourth-liner
15Owen KraftLW, 16. Young for the league, SteadyTri-City AmericansWHL–80.75+18%54%31%16%Fourth-liner?
16Jonas Lagerberg HoenR, 18. Steady, HonestLeksands IFALLSVENSKANOTT#25, 202641.00+3%57%16%15%Fourth-liner?
17Andrew BashaLW, 15. Young for the league, SteadyCalgary WranglersAHL–70.29−14%66%26%12%Fourth-liner
18Luca Del Bel BelluzC, 22. Steady, HonestCleveland MonstersAHLCBJ#44, 2022551.05+5%81%13%5%Fourth-liner
19Brayden YagerC, 21. Sniper, SteadyManitoba MooseAHLWPG#14, 202361.50−19%68%13%6%Fourth-liner
20Tyler CooperC, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueErie OttersOHL–90.11+24%62%25%9%Fourth-liner
21Jagger FirkusR, 22. Playmaker, SteadyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#35, 202271.14−14%65%22%5%Fourth-liner
22Easton WalosC, 17. Rising, Running hotSarnia StingOHL–121.33+2%58%20%18%Fourth-liner
23Joakim KemellR, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#17, 202241.00+16%67%14%6%Fourth-liner
24Lenni HameenahoR, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyUtica CometsAHLNJD#58, 202341.25+25%75%13%5%Fourth-liner
25Liam RuckR, 18. Steady, HonestMedicine Hat TigersWHLPIT#22, 202670.86−6%61%15%11%Fourth-liner
26Emil HemmingR, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueTexas StarsAHLDAL#29, 202460.17+17%60%22%4%Fourth-liner
27Ryan RoobroeckLW, 18. Volume shooter, HeavyGuelph StormOHL–91.56−12%59%22%6%Fourth-liner
28Adam NovotnýLW, 18. Volume shooter, Carrying a teamPeterborough PetesOHL–101.60+18%63%20%8%Fourth-liner
29Jani NymanR, 22. Edgy, SniperCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#49, 202271.43074%13%6%Fourth-liner
30Bill ZonnonR, 19. Young for the league, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#22, 202560.83−19%57%19%9%Fourth-liner
31Casey MutrynR, 18. Young for the league, SteadyBoston CollegeNCAASEA#38, 202630.00−5%60%22%13%Fourth-liner
32Beckett HamiltonRW, 18. Rising, SteadyRed Deer RebelsWHL–92.22−3%52%24%12%Fourth-liner
33Hunter HaightC, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyIowa WildAHLMIN#47, 202260.83+40%57%14%6%Fourth-liner
34Mason WestC, 19. Edgy, Young for the leagueMichigan State Univ.NCAACHI#29, 202530.00−7%54%12%2%Fourth-liner
35Nolan SnyderRW, 17. Rising, Running hotKingston FrontenacsOHL–121.08−9%51%21%6%Fourth-liner
36Kane CloutierLW, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueOshawa GeneralsOHL–120.33+39%51%19%9%Fourth-liner?
37Mathis PrestonR, 18. Sniper, SteadyVancouver GiantsWHLANA#50, 202691.11+12%59%17%10%Fourth-liner
38Alexey VlasovRW, 18. Volume shooter, SniperVictoriaville TigresQMJHL–81.50057%18%8%Fourth-liner
39Eduard SaleL, 21. Steady, HonestCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#20, 202370.57−14%66%11%4%Fourth-liner
40Rory KerinsC, 21. Steady, HonestCalgary WranglersAHL–70.57−11%67%17%2%Fourth-liner
41Liam GreentreeR, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#26, 202480.63+38%51%16%4%Fourth-liner
42Pierre-Alexandre LemieuxC, 15. Young for the league, SteadyShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–100.70+6%51%25%9%Fourth-liner?
43Liam PueRW, 16. Rising, Young for the leagueRegina PatsWHL–91.44−2%51%21%8%Fourth-liner
44Cam WarrenC, 17. Steady, HonestNorth Bay BattalionOHL–100.70+18%52%16%10%Fourth-liner
45Colby BarlowL, 21. Steady, HonestManitoba MooseAHLWPG#18, 202360.83−24%62%10%3%Fourth-liner
46Tanner HoweL, 20. Young for the league, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#46, 202460.33−23%57%15%4%Fourth-liner
47Oscar Fisker MolgaardC, 21. Steady, HonestCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#52, 202360.50054%11%4%Fourth-liner
48Jean-Cristoph LemieuxRW, 18. Rising, Volume shooterSudbury WolvesOHL–81.75−5%55%18%4%Fourth-liner
49Reid SchaeferL, 22. Heavy, SniperMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#32, 2022330.85+1%50%8%8%Fourth-liner?
50Lucas PetterssonC, 20. Young for the league, SteadySan Diego GullsAHLANA#35, 202460.50+9%51%12%11%Fourth-liner
51Nathan GaucherC, 22. Edgy, HeavySan Diego GullsAHLANA#22, 202250.60+12%52%10%3%Fourth-liner
52Charlie CerratoC, 21. Playmaker, SteadyPenn State Univ.NCAACAR#49, 2025231.17+4%56%9%4%Fourth-liner?
53Ryder CaliC, 18. Young for the league, HeavyProvidence CollegeNCAAFLA#48, 202630.67−1%52%11%2%Fourth-liner
54Kasper HalttunenR, 21. Carrying a team, Volume shooterBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#36, 202371.14+19%58%8%2%Fourth-liner
55William StromgrenL, 23. Playmaker, SteadyCalgary WranglersAHLCGY#45, 202171.14−12%55%6%3%Fourth-liner
56Andrew LaurinRW, 16. Young for the league, SteadyOttawa 67'sOHL–100.70054%12%5%Fourth-liner?
57Owen BeckC, 22. Stacked roster, SteadyLaval RocketAHLMTL#33, 202240.25−27%52%4%2%Fourth-liner
58Amadeus LombardiC, 23. Steady, HonestGrand Rapids GriffinsAHLNJD#113, 2022470.89−10%51%2%<1%Fourth-liner

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.