GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Marc RuggereD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBarrie ColtsOHL–50.20+44%48%19%6%AHLer?
2Jay NimchonokRD, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBrampton SteelheadsOHL–50.20+26%44%10%9%AHLer?
3Malik L'ItalienD, 17. Rising, Young for the leagueHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL–101.00+2%35%16%7%AHLer
4Jevin MorrisonD, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueWenatchee WildWHL–90.11+44%46%9%6%AHLer?
5Parker DeraneyLD, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leaguePenticton VeesWHL–80.25+20%44%8%6%AHLer?
6Declan McNallyD, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBarrie ColtsOHL–110.09+44%32%9%9%AHLer?
7Cooper McAslanD, 17. Steady, HonestLondon KnightsOHL–91.00−13%44%9%3%AHLer?
8Matthew HendersonD, 17. Steady, HonestKingston FrontenacsOHL–120.25−15%33%12%5%AHLer
9Mark PritchinD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–110.36+12%25%17%5%AHLer?
10Yuri VlasenkoD, 16. Young for the league, SteadySwift Current BroncosWHL–110.27+10%33%8%3%AHLer?
11Zack NaishD, 16. Young for the league, Big frameNiagara IceDogsOHL–10.00+5%34%8%4%AHLer?
12Justin BeaulieuD, 17. Rising, Young for the leagueRimouski OcéanicQMJHL–110.82−22%28%15%2%AHLer
13Max FransenD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueOwen Sound AttackOHL–110.27+32%30%5%5%AHLer?
14Xavier VilleneuveD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyBlainville-Boisbriand ArmadaQMJHL–371.03−15%28%9%1%AHLer
15Antoine St-LaurentD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–120.83+15%25%10%2%AHLer
16Zach NymanD, 18. Carrying a team, UndersizedBrampton SteelheadsOHL–100.30+26%38%4%2%AHLer
17David BuchmanD, 17. Rising, Young for the leagueBrantford BulldogsOHL–120.83−8%27%8%3%AHLer?
18Hunter AuraD, 18. Rising, SteadyCalgary HitmenWHL–90.89−17%28%5%<1%AHLer
19Eric PohlkampD, 22. Steady, HonestSan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#132, 202360.83−4%28%3%<1%AHLer
20Sean BehrensD, 23. Steady, HonestColorado EaglesAHLCOL#61, 202160.33+8%29%4%<1%AHLer
21Caleb MitchellD, 18. Steady, HonestLondon KnightsOHL–90.33−17%35%2%2%AHLer
22Ben MacBeathD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyUniv. of DenverNCAANYR#64, 202640.25−1%24%5%2%AHLer
23Topias VilenD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyUtica CometsAHLNJD#129, 202140.75+23%31%3%<1%AHLer
24Artem GoncharD, 19. Steady, HonestSudbury WolvesOHLNYR#89, 202580.63−19%30%4%2%AHLer
25Aleksi HeimosalmiD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyChicago WolvesAHLCAR#44, 202160.17+44%34%2%<1%AHLer
26Kyle HegerLD, 18. Steady, HonestLethbridge HurricanesWHL–110.55−2%29%4%1%AHLer
27Lucas AmbrosioD, 18. Carrying a team, EdgyErie OttersOHL–100.50+28%37%<1%<1%AHLer
28Jack PeartD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyIowa WildAHLMIN#54, 202170.43+24%35%1%<1%AHLer
29Colin RalphD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#48, 202460.00+22%39%2%<1%AHLer
30Luca MarrelliD, 20. Young for the league, SteadyCleveland MonstersAHL–60.50−14%28%3%<1%AHLer
31Odin VauhkonenD, 18. Rising, PlaymakerVictoria RoyalsWHL–91.11−19%28%4%2%AHLer
32Mattias HavelidD, 22. Steady, HonestSan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#45, 202250.00−5%34%<1%<1%AHLer
33Arsenii AnisimovD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyPrince George CougarsWHL–70.57+31%27%3%<1%AHLer
34Cole EmertonD, 18. Rising, PlaymakerSarnia StingOHL–121.17−8%28%3%2%AHLer
35Cam AllenD, 21. Steady, HonestHershey BearsAHLWSH#136, 202351.00+2%28%2%<1%AHLer?
36Luke SchairerD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyBoston CollegeNCAASTL#75, 202620.00−7%31%2%<1%AHLer
37Anthony TimmermanLD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueOshawa GeneralsOHL–110.18+34%22%8%2%AHLer
38Ondrej RumlD, 18. Rising, SniperOttawa 67'sOHL–91.11+4%30%4%2%AHLer
39Finn HardingD, 21. Heavy, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#223, 202450.20−24%26%3%<1%AHLer
40Caden PriceD, 21. Young for the league, Stacked rosterCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#84, 202340.50−19%28%2%<1%AHLer
41Noah ChadwickD, 21. Young for the league, HeavyToronto MarliesAHL–50.40−19%26%1%<1%AHLer
42Ludvig JanssonD, 22. Volume shooter, SteadyCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#125, 202210.00+23%27%1%<1%AHLer?
43Nate YellowagaD, 18. Edgy, SteadyVictoria RoyalsWHL–90.44−21%27%5%2%AHLer
44Kaden AucoinD, 17. Edgy, Young for the leagueSarnia StingOHL–70.00−12%22%9%2%AHLer
45Sean Matthew GoyetteD, 18. Edgy, Carrying a teamBrampton SteelheadsOHL–20.00+26%32%3%1%AHLer?
46Marc-Andre GaudetD, 22. Carrying a team, SteadySpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#152, 202240.50+22%23%1%<1%AHLer
47Will McLaughlinD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyPortland WinterhawksWHL–70.29+22%29%2%1%AHLer
48Will ScottRD, 18. Steady, HonestLethbridge HurricanesWHL–110.27027%3%<1%AHLer
49Jorian DonovanD, 22. Steady, HonestBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#136, 202250.00024%1%<1%AHLer
50Artem DudaD, 22. Steady, HonestTucson RoadrunnersAHL–60.50+2%23%4%<1%AHLer
51Mikhail GulyayevD, 21. Rising, PlaymakerAvangard OmskKHLCOL#31, 2023150.53+3%23%2%2%AHLer
52Giorgos PantelasRD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyPenticton VeesWHL–100.20+20%29%2%1%AHLer
53Chase CheslockD, 21. Heavy, SteadyUniv. of St. ThomasNCAANJD#154, 202321.00+5%24%1%<1%AHLer
54Vladimir DraveckyD, 18. Rising, PlaymakerGuelph StormOHL–91.56−16%30%2%<1%AHLer
55Bryce PickfordD, 20. Sniper, Stacked rosterMedicine Hat TigersWHLMTL#81, 2025551.51−21%28%5%<1%AHLer
56Carter HicksD, 18. Carrying a team, RisingBrampton SteelheadsOHL–100.40+26%29%1%1%AHLer
57Grayson TashD, 17. Rising, Carrying a teamSeattle ThunderbirdsWHL–80.75+15%24%7%<1%AHLer
58Kashawn AitchesonD, 19. Young for the league, SteadyHamilton HammersAHL–60.17−2%21%7%<1%AHLer
59Jayden KurtzD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyChicago SteelUSHLANA#45, 202650.00+11%20%2%<1%AHLer?
60Kaden HammellD, 21. Stacked roster, SteadyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#148, 202360.00−19%26%<1%<1%AHLer
61A.J. GladmanD, 17. Carrying a team, HeavyErie OttersOHL–40.25+24%22%2%2%AHLer?
62Genc UlaD, 17. Edgy, RisingSudbury WolvesOHL–100.40−16%20%3%2%AHLer
63Maveric LamoureuxD, 22. Heavy, PlaymakerTucson RoadrunnersAHL–650.31021%<1%<1%AHLer
64Aron KiviharjuD, 20. Undersized, SteadyHIFKLIIGAMIN#122, 202470.57+4%21%3%<1%AHLer
65Callum CroskeryD, 18. Steady, HonestSoo GreyhoundsOHL–90.56028%1%<1%AHLer
66Alexander BileckiLD, 18. Rising, PlaymakerKitchener RangersOHL–111.00+17%19%2%2%AHLer
67Nikita NovikovD, 23. Heavy, PlaymakerOntario ReignAHL–640.31−1%21%<1%<1%AHLer
68Benjamin Cossette AyotteD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyVal-d'Or ForeursQMJHL–120.75−14%20%3%1%AHLer
69Emil PieniniemiD, 21. Steady, HonestWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLFLA#91, 202390.33−4%24%2%<1%AHLer?
70Chase PietilaD, 22. Edgy, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#111, 202450.40−24%19%1%<1%AHLer
71Jake FurlongD, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#140, 202250.00+36%22%<1%<1%AHLer
72Grady PichetteRD, 17. Steady, HonestLethbridge HurricanesWHL–80.13−2%23%2%2%AHLer
73Dmitry KuzminD, 23. Steady, HonestRockford IceHogsAHL–460.33+7%23%1%<1%AHLer
74Angus BoothD, 22. Steady, HonestOntario ReignAHL–50.40019%<1%<1%AHLer
75Tomas KralovicD, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSyracuse CrunchAHL–50.20+23%24%2%<1%AHLer?
76Filip KovalcikD, 17. Carrying a team, RisingDrummondville VoltigeursQMJHL–110.45+41%18%4%1%AHLer
77Daniil OrlovD, 22. Steady, HonestSpartak MoskvaKHLNJD#110, 2022140.50+8%17%3%1%AHLer
78Ethan SamsonD, 23. Edgy, Stacked rosterLaval RocketAHL–50.00−27%18%<1%<1%AHLer
79Hoyt StanleyD, 21. Heavy, SteadyBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#108, 202350.40023%1%<1%AHLer
80Alexandre TailleferD, 18. Rising, PlaymakerQuébec RempartsQMJHL–91.44−19%18%3%1%AHLer
81Michael BuchingerD, 22. Carrying a team, SteadySpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#88, 202250.20+27%15%<1%<1%AHLer
82Peyton KettlesD, 19. Edgy, Big frameKelowna RocketsWHLPIT#39, 202590.44−4%19%<1%<1%AHLer?
83Noel FransénD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueChicago WolvesAHLCAR#69, 202460.17+44%18%3%1%AHLer
84Dominik BadinkaD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueChicago WolvesAHL–40.25+44%17%1%<1%AHLer
85Vladislav LukashevichD, 23. Playmaker, SteadyMiami Univ. (Ohio)NCAAFLA#120, 2021330.64+9%24%<1%<1%AHLer?
86Gabriel EliassonD, 20. Young for the league, HeavyBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#39, 202410.00018%<1%<1%AHLer
87Drew FortescueD, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#90, 202380.00+28%23%1%<1%AHLer
88Marek AlscherD, 22. Edgy, HeavyCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#93, 202260.17+23%16%<1%<1%AHLer
89Viggo GustafssonD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#77, 202430.33+10%18%2%<1%AHLer
90Tomas HamaraD, 22. Steady, HonestBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#87, 202240.25017%<1%<1%AHLer
91Jackson DorringtonD, 22. Carrying a team, HeavyHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#176, 202260.00+28%15%<1%<1%AHLer
92Henry BrzustewiczD, 19. Young for the league, HeavyOntario ReignAHL–30.00017%3%<1%AHLer
93Charles Alexis LegaultD, 23. Edgy, Carrying a teamChicago WolvesAHLCAR#139, 202340.00+44%18%<1%<1%AHLer?
94Tarin SmithD, 20. Playmaker, Stacked rosterEverett SilvertipsWHLANA#79, 2024651.09−19%17%2%2%AHLer
95Andrew RobinsonD, 18. Rising, PlaymakerWindsor SpitfiresOHL–81.13+3%19%1%<1%AHLer
96Jiri KamasD, 18. Rising, SteadyRed Deer RebelsWHL–110.64−19%17%2%<1%AHLer
97Quinton BurnsD, 21. Edgy, Carrying a teamSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#74, 202360.17+22%14%1%<1%AHLer
98Vsevolod KomarovD, 22. Edgy, HeavyRochester AmericansAHLBUF#134, 202260.50−4%13%<1%<1%AHLer
99Brek LiskeD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyEverett SilvertipsWHL–90.44+44%17%1%<1%AHLer
100Luka GrazianoD, 18. Rising, SteadyFlint FirebirdsOHL–90.67−8%16%<1%<1%AHLer

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.