GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Alex McLeanC, 18. Steady, HonestKingston FrontenacsOHL–120.67−12%49%28%26%Tweener
2JP HurlbertRW, 18. Steady, HonestKamloops BlazersWHL–681.43−1%48%26%15%Tweener
3Thomas VandenbergC, 18. Sniper, SteadyOttawa 67'sOHL–590.85−3%49%25%11%Tweener
4Aleks KuleminC, 17. Rising, Big frameKingston FrontenacsOHL–121.00−12%45%25%7%Tweener
5Jayden PominvilleC, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–120.75+16%41%22%16%Tweener
6Oleg KulebiakinRW, 18. Steady, HonestHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL–80.88+3%42%19%15%Tweener
7Collin KimLW, 15. Young for the league, SteadyKamloops BlazersWHL–70.57+13%48%19%8%Tweener?
8Olivier CharronC, 16. Young for the league, SteadyShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–100.70+6%43%22%14%Tweener
9Ulysses LombardiC, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyErie OttersOHL–80.38+26%46%20%7%Tweener
10Marek VanackerL, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#27, 202460.00+36%48%14%3%Tweener
11Ryan BrownLW, 18. Playmaker, SteadyLondon KnightsOHL–51.60−15%46%13%7%Tweener
12Chase SurkanLW, 17. Playmaker, RisingBrandon Wheat KingsWHL–111.18048%14%5%Tweener
13Matias VanhanenL, 19. Young for the league, EdgyBoston CollegeNCAANJD#37, 202631.00−5%47%17%6%Tweener
14Caleb MalhotraC, 18. Stacked roster, SteadyBrantford BulldogsOHL–671.25−20%44%15%8%Tweener
15Brenner LammensC, 17. Rising, Young for the leagueSarnia StingOHL–120.67−7%43%16%8%Tweener
16Markus RuckC, 18. Steady, HonestMedicine Hat TigersWHLPIT#39, 202671.29−2%40%16%7%Tweener
17Ben HarveyRW, 17. Carrying a team, Young for the leaguePrince Albert RaidersWHL–110.91+22%42%13%6%Tweener
18Zachary LansardRW, 18. Steady, HonestRegina PatsWHL–80.88−11%35%15%12%Tweener
19Ilya KolmakovLW, 17. Playmaker, SteadySherbrooke PhœnixQMJHL–101.00−10%39%16%7%Tweener
20Brad LambertC, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyManitoba MooseAHLWPG#30, 2022340.38+27%43%5%2%Tweener
21Pierce MbuyiL, 18. Carrying a team, EdgyOwen Sound AttackOHLPIT#86, 2026111.18+39%38%18%3%Tweener
22Cam LundC, 22. Steady, HonestSan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#34, 2022370.68−5%48%6%3%Tweener
23Dmitri BuchelnikovL, 23. Steady, HonestCSKA MoskvaKHLSTL#52, 2022160.44−3%34%13%12%Tweener
24Gracyn SawchynC, 21. Steady, HonestCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#63, 202360.33+23%41%7%4%Tweener
25Braidy WassilynLW, 18. Rising, Running hotSaginaw SpiritOHL–111.91−6%39%13%4%Tweener
26Lyndon CabralRW, 17. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueErie OttersOHL–70.00+42%41%17%9%Tweener?
27Luca SantalaC, 17. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueKitchener RangersOHL–120.58+25%35%12%3%Tweener?
28Alessandro Di IorioC, 18. Rising, SteadySarnia StingOHL–81.25−6%37%15%5%Tweener
29Cruz PavaoRW, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyTri-City AmericansWHL–100.70+28%38%14%5%Tweener
30Juraj PekarcikL, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#76, 202360.00+22%41%9%2%Tweener
31Bogdan YakushevskyRW, 17. Running hot, SniperWindsor SpitfiresOHL–111.09+11%34%10%5%Tweener?
32Jayson ShaugabayR, 21. Playmaker, UndersizedUniv. of Minnesota-DuluthNCAATBL#115, 202361.50+5%44%6%2%Tweener
33Ethan BelchetzLW, 18. Heavy, SniperWindsor SpitfiresOHL–571.04−9%37%12%4%Tweener
34Denver BarkeyC, 21. Young for the league, SteadyLehigh Valley PhantomsAHLPHI#95, 2023260.62+7%45%6%2%Tweener?
35Nathan AmidovskiLW, 18. Carrying a team, RisingBrampton SteelheadsOHL–101.00+41%39%12%2%Tweener
36Jaxon CoverR, 18. Volume shooter, SteadyLondon KnightsOHLOTT#32, 202661.17−12%43%8%3%Tweener
37Gavin HayesL, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#66, 202260.83+43%37%10%3%Tweener
38Sandis VilmanisL, 22. Steady, HonestCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#157, 2022480.79+8%43%3%1%Tweener
39Beckham EdwardsC, 18. Carrying a team, SteadySarnia StingOHL–640.70+27%41%8%7%Tweener
40Roman AndreevRW, 16. Young for the league, SteadyKitchener RangersOHL–70.00+14%39%16%4%Tweener?
41Matthew SeminoffR, 22. Carrying a team, Volume shooterTexas StarsAHLDAL#179, 202260.83+16%40%2%<1%Tweener
42Noah LausLW, 17. Rising, Running hotSoo GreyhoundsOHL–111.09+13%40%8%4%Tweener
43Alex BumpL, 22. Volume shooter, Carrying a teamLehigh Valley PhantomsAHLPHI#133, 202251.60+15%39%2%2%Tweener
44James ScantleburyC, 17. Running hot, SteadyQuébec RempartsQMJHL–101.90−10%33%15%4%Tweener?
45Ethan GauthierR, 21. Carrying a team, SteadySyracuse CrunchAHLTBL#37, 202350.20+23%47%4%<1%Tweener
46Teddy StigaC, 20. Steady, HonestBoston CollegeNCAANSH#55, 202430.33−5%42%4%2%Tweener
47Tyler HindeC, 17. Rising, Carrying a teamOshawa GeneralsOHL–120.42+41%30%12%3%Tweener?
48Malcolm SpenceL, 19. Edgy, SteadyUniv. of MichiganNCAANYR#43, 202561.17−3%40%5%3%Tweener
49Aleksanteri KaskimäkiF, 22. Steady, HonestSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHL–640.69+10%43%2%<1%Tweener
50Jack DevineR, 22. Carrying a team, Volume shooterCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#221, 202260.67+36%43%3%<1%Tweener
51Luca PinelliLW, 21. Edgy, UndersizedCleveland MonstersAHL–61.00−7%39%4%<1%Tweener
52John MustardC, 20. Steady, HonestProvidence CollegeNCAACHI#67, 202430.67−3%37%7%1%Tweener
53Matyas SapovalivC, 22. Carrying a team, Big frameHenderson Silver KnightsAHLVGK#48, 202250.80+16%43%4%1%Tweener
54Ben HemmerlingR, 22. Edgy, SteadyHenderson Silver KnightsAHLVGK#177, 202220.50+4%36%4%1%Tweener
55Logan StuartLW, 18. Carrying a team, SniperLethbridge HurricanesWHL–101.30+18%34%8%1%Tweener?
56Ivan MiroshnichenkoLW, 22. Heavy, SteadyHershey BearsAHL–410.83+7%36%2%<1%Tweener
57John MooneyC, 19. Edgy, Young for the leagueUniv. of MinnesotaNCAAMTL#113, 202520.00−1%35%6%2%Tweener
58Anton WahlbergLW, 21. Young for the league, HeavySan Diego GullsAHL–71.00+16%35%6%<1%Tweener
59Filip MesarR, 22. Stacked roster, SteadyLaval RocketAHLMTL#26, 202260.67−24%32%3%<1%Tweener
60Zach L’HeureuxLW, 23. Sniper, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHL–300.93+2%34%5%1%Tweener?
61Joshua RoyLW, 23. Steady, HonestTucson RoadrunnersAHL–60.33037%3%1%Tweener
62Sasha PastujovF, 23. Volume shooter, SniperLaval RocketAHL–61.33−18%35%3%<1%Tweener
63Simas IgnataviciusR, 18. Young for the league, SteadyGenève-Servette HCNLFLA#40, 2026130.08+14%34%2%2%Tweener
64Lucian BernatRW, 18. Carrying a team, Big frameOwen Sound AttackOHL–70.71+34%28%2%2%Tweener?

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.