GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Lavr GashilovC, 18. Young for the league, PlaymakerAvto YekaterinburgMHLNJD#119, 2026121.33+2%32%12%8%AHLer
2Alexander SuzdalevL, 22. Steady, HonestHershey BearsAHLWSH#70, 202240.00−1%38%6%4%AHLer
3Adam NemecL, 18. Playmaker, SteadyBrantford BulldogsOHLOTT#72, 2026180.89−10%28%12%4%AHLer
4Julius MiettinenC, 20. Young for the league, HeavyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#40, 202470.71−15%34%11%2%AHLer
5Mikhail IlyinR, 21. Heavy, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#142, 202361.17−20%33%10%3%AHLer
6Logan SawyerC, 20. Steady, HonestProvidence CollegeNCAAMTL#78, 202431.67−3%32%9%2%AHLer
7Matvei KorotkyC, 20. Steady, HonestSKA St. PetersburgKHLSTL#211, 2024150.73+8%37%14%2%AHLer
8Matyas MelovskyC, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyUtica CometsAHLNJD#171, 202440.75+23%37%3%<1%AHLer
9Adam BenakC, 19. Young for the league, UndersizedWestern Michigan Univ.NCAAMIN#102, 202541.75−3%28%9%2%AHLer
10Nathan BehmR, 19. Young for the league, SteadyArizona State Univ.NCAACHI#66, 202560.67−3%25%10%3%AHLer
11Nathan VilleneuveC, 20. Edgy, Young for the leagueCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#63, 202450.00−19%26%8%2%AHLer
12Dmitri IsayevL, 19. Undersized, SteadyAvto YekaterinburgMHLOTT#149, 2025161.13+2%30%7%5%AHLer
13Riley HeidtC, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyIowa WildAHLMIN#64, 202370.43+29%30%4%<1%AHLer
14Herman TraffR, 20. Young for the league, HeavySan Diego GullsAHLANA#91, 202450.20+9%30%5%1%AHLer
15Carey TerranceC, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#59, 202320.00+28%38%2%<1%AHLer
16Aiden FinkR, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#218, 202330.33+16%34%5%<1%AHLer
17Louis Felix BourqueR, 18. Carrying a team, HeavyDrummondville VoltigeursQMJHLOTT#91, 202670.71+41%25%8%3%AHLer
18Kevin HeL, 20. Young for the league, SteadyManitoba MooseAHLWPG#109, 202460.83−24%28%7%1%AHLer
19Dans LocmelisC, 22. Carrying a team, EdgyProvidence BruinsAHLBOS#119, 202270.43+28%28%2%2%AHLer
20Florian XhekajL, 22. Steady, HonestLaval RocketAHLMTL#101, 2023640.45034%2%<1%AHLer
21Samuel SavoieL, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#81, 202250.00+36%29%4%<1%AHLer
22Ethan ProcyszynC, 20. Young for the league, SteadySan Diego GullsAHLANA#68, 202470.14+9%28%4%2%AHLer
23Viktor FedorovC, 18. Young for the league, SteadyTorpedo Nizhny NovgorodKHLSEA#99, 2026140.21021%8%4%AHLer
24Ryder RitchieR, 20. Steady, HonestBoston Univ.NCAAMIN#45, 202430.67−9%34%2%1%AHLer
25Jaroslav ChmelarR, 23. Carrying a team, Volume shooterHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#144, 202120.50+32%29%1%<1%AHLer
26Cam SquiresR, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyUtica CometsAHLNJD#122, 202330.00+23%28%2%<1%AHLer
27Maxim MasséR, 20. Steady, HonestUniv. of MassachusettsNCAAANA#66, 202460.67−1%21%6%3%AHLer
28Shane LachanceL, 23. Carrying a team, Big frameUtica CometsAHLNJD#186, 202140.25+25%32%2%<1%AHLer
29Jayden PerronR, 21. Sniper, UndersizedUniv. of MichiganNCAACAR#94, 202362.50−5%24%3%1%AHLer
30Cole KnubleR, 22. Steady, HonestLehigh Valley PhantomsAHLPHI#103, 202360.67−10%24%3%<1%AHLer
31Eric NilsonC, 19. Young for the league, SteadyMichigan State Univ.NCAAANA#45, 202531.67−8%34%<1%<1%AHLer
32Danil ZhilkinC, 22. Steady, HonestManitoba MooseAHLWPG#77, 202260.83+3%25%4%<1%AHLer
33Jakub StanclC, 21. Carrying a team, HeavySpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#106, 202360.33+27%30%2%<1%AHLer
34Mikhail FyodorovR, 19. Young for the league, SteadyMetallurg MagnitogorskKHLSTL#147, 2025160.25+3%19%7%3%AHLer
35Bryce McConnell-BarkerC, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#97, 202250.20+32%23%2%<1%AHLer
36Joey WillisC, 21. Carrying a team, Volume shooterMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#111, 202310.00+10%27%2%<1%AHLer
37Miguel MarquesR, 20. Steady, HonestNortheastern Univ.NCAANSH#87, 202431.67+10%24%3%1%AHLer
38Filip ErikssonC, 21. Steady, HonestLuleå HFSHLMTL#165, 2023100.50+13%18%8%2%AHLer
39Christopher PelosiC, 21. Steady, HonestQuinnipiac Univ.NCAABOS#92, 202351.00+10%21%2%<1%AHLer
40Conrad FondrkC, 19. Young for the league, SteadyBoston Univ.NCAANJD#50, 202520.00−9%33%1%<1%AHLer?
41Dylan RoobroeckC, 22. Carrying a team, HeavyHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#178, 202370.14+28%24%2%<1%AHLer
42Carson RehkopfL, 21. Heavy, Stacked rosterCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#50, 202360.00−19%28%<1%<1%AHLer
43Nathan AspinallL, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#159, 202480.38+32%20%4%2%AHLer
44Martin MisiakR, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#55, 202340.00+36%29%<1%<1%AHLer
45Jordan DumaisR, 22. Undersized, SteadyCleveland MonstersAHLCBJ#96, 202260.17−14%28%2%<1%AHLer
46Austin BurnevikR, 21. Big frame, SteadyUniv. of MinnesotaNCAAANA#182, 202440.25−1%20%3%<1%AHLer
47Viktor NorringerL, 20. Big frame, SteadyBoston Univ.NCAANSH#127, 202430.33−10%22%3%2%AHLer
48Jakub BrabenecC, 23. Steady, HonestHC Kometa BrnoCZECHIAVGK#102, 2021100.20+12%27%1%<1%AHLer
49Clarke CaswellL, 20. Steady, HonestUniv. of DenverNCAASEA#141, 202441.00−3%21%2%<1%AHLer
50Brody LambR, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#104, 202180.13+28%20%1%<1%AHLer
51Gleb TrikozovL, 22. Steady, HonestChicago WolvesAHLCAR#60, 2022460.24−2%23%<1%<1%AHLer
52Kieron WaltonC, 20. Heavy, SteadyPeterborough PetesOHLWPG#187, 2024621.42+4%19%5%<1%AHLer
53Linus ErikssonC, 20. Rising, SteadyTimrå IKSHLFLA#58, 2024100.50+13%20%1%<1%AHLer
54Jacob BattagliaR, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#62, 202460.00+28%19%3%<1%AHLer
55Rasmus KumpulainenC, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueIowa WildAHLMIN#53, 202320.00+24%19%1%<1%AHLer
56Ben KevanR, 19. Steady, HonestArizona State Univ.NCAANJD#63, 202550.60−1%17%2%<1%AHLer
57Jiri FelcmanC, 21. Carrying a team, Big frameRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#93, 202360.67+40%16%4%1%AHLer
58Oscar HolmertzC, 18. Young for the league, SteadyBIK KarlskogaALLSVENSKANOTT#87, 2026120.25+12%12%5%2%AHLer?
59Patrick ThomasC, 22. Steady, HonestHershey BearsAHLWSH#104, 202370.43+3%19%3%<1%AHLer?
60Hunter St. MartinL, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#193, 202460.17+27%22%<1%<1%AHLer
61Ollie JosephsonC, 20. Steady, HonestUniv. of North DakotaNCAASEA#105, 202440.00+1%21%1%<1%AHLer
62Tyler ThorpeR, 21. Edgy, Young for the leagueLaval RocketAHLMTL#130, 202420.00−27%14%<1%<1%AHLer
63Travis HayesR, 19. Steady, HonestSoo GreyhoundsOHLPIT#105, 2025110.73+6%18%2%<1%AHLer
64Eriks MateikoL, 20. Young for the league, HeavyHershey BearsAHLWSH#90, 202460.33+3%22%1%<1%AHLer
65Oskar PetterssonR, 22. Heavy, SteadyBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#72, 202270.14+3%17%<1%<1%AHLer
66Spencer BowesL, 18. Carrying a team, Volume shooterOttawa 67'sOHLNYR#102, 2026101.20+11%18%1%<1%AHLer
67Ludwig PerssonL, 22. Steady, HonestHershey BearsAHLWSH#85, 202270.14+3%18%2%<1%AHLer?
68Andrei LoshkoC, 21. Steady, HonestCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#116, 2023510.27−5%17%<1%<1%AHLer
69Jacob JulienC, 22. Big frame, SteadyManitoba MooseAHLWPG#146, 202360.83−27%17%1%<1%AHLer
70Tuomas UronenR, 21. Steady, HonestHenderson Silver KnightsAHLVGK#192, 202330.00+4%17%<1%<1%AHLer
71William TomkoC, 19. Steady, HonestOhio State Univ.NCAASEA#204, 202640.50+5%16%4%<1%AHLer
72Sam HarrisL, 22. Edgy, SteadyUniv. of DenverNCAAMTL#133, 202341.00−3%12%<1%<1%AHLer
73Javon MooreL, 20. Steady, HonestUniv. of MinnesotaNCAAOTT#112, 202440.00−1%17%1%<1%AHLer
74Barrett HallC, 22. Edgy, SteadyUniv. of Minnesota-DuluthNCAASEA#164, 202260.67+5%11%<1%<1%AHLer
75Ryan WalshC, 23. Playmaker, SteadyCornell Univ.NCAABOS#188, 2023331.00+4%14%<1%<1%AHLer?
76Julius SumpfC, 21. Steady, HonestProvidence CollegeNCAACHI#98, 202532.00−3%16%<1%<1%AHLer
77Joey MuldowneyR, 22. Steady, HonestUniv. of ConnecticutNCAASJS#172, 202240.50−5%14%<1%<1%AHLer
78Jordan GustafsonC, 22. Steady, HonestHenderson Silver KnightsAHLVGK#79, 202220.00+4%16%1%<1%AHLer?
79James MalatestaL, 23. Undersized, SteadyCleveland MonstersAHLCBJ#133, 202160.50−13%11%<1%<1%AHLer
80Cole BrownL, 21. Steady, HonestUniv. of Notre DameNCAANJD#164, 202320.00+10%14%<1%<1%AHLer
81Owen BecknerC, 21. Steady, HonestColorado CollegeNCAAOTT#204, 202340.25+5%14%1%<1%AHLer
82Josh FilmonL, 22. Steady, HonestUtica CometsAHLNJD#166, 2022310.19+14%12%<1%<1%AHLer?
83Rian ChudzinskiR, 18. Carrying a team, Volume shooterMoncton WildcatsQMJHLANA#82, 2026101.30+18%12%2%<1%AHLer
84David RozsivalR, 19. Young for the league, SteadyUniv. of St. ThomasNCAANJD#161, 202521.00+5%14%<1%<1%AHLer
85Jakub DemekC, 23. Heavy, SteadyHenderson Silver KnightsAHLVGK#128, 202150.20+8%13%1%<1%AHLer?
86Mathieu CatafordC, 21. Steady, HonestHenderson Silver KnightsAHLVGK#77, 202350.00+4%8%<1%<1%AHLer
87Nikita SusuevR, 21. Steady, HonestSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#202, 202330.00+1%11%<1%<1%AHLer
88Fabian WagnerC, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyManitoba MooseAHLWPG#175, 2022290.10+25%9%<1%<1%AHLer?
89Zaccharya WisdomR, 22. Steady, HonestWestern Michigan Univ.NCAASEA#212, 202341.00−3%8%<1%<1%AHLer
90Kayden LemireR, 18. Edgy, Carrying a teamPrince George CougarsWHLMIN#112, 202650.60+32%8%<1%<1%AHLer
91Reese LaubachC, 22. Steady, HonestPenn State Univ.NCAASJS#217, 202230.00+10%8%<1%<1%AHLer
92Justin ErtelL, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyTexas StarsAHLDAL#79, 202150.00+13%8%<1%<1%AHLer
93Austin RoestR, 22. Steady, HonestMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#175, 2023410.17−2%5%<1%<1%AHLer

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.