GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Lavr GashilovC, 18. Young for the league, PlaymakerAvto YekaterinburgMHLNJD#119, 2026121.33+2%32%12%8%AHLer
2Alexander SuzdalevL, 22. Steady, HonestHershey BearsAHLWSH#70, 202240.00−1%38%6%4%AHLer
3Adam NemecL, 18. Playmaker, SteadyBrantford BulldogsOHLOTT#72, 2026180.89−10%28%12%4%AHLer
4Julius MiettinenC, 20. Young for the league, HeavyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#40, 202470.71−15%34%11%2%AHLer
5Mikhail IlyinR, 21. Heavy, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#142, 202361.17−20%33%10%3%AHLer
6Logan SawyerC, 20. Steady, HonestProvidence CollegeNCAAMTL#78, 202431.67−3%32%9%2%AHLer
7Matvei KorotkyC, 20. Steady, HonestSKA St. PetersburgKHLSTL#211, 2024150.73+8%37%14%2%AHLer
8Adam BenakC, 19. Young for the league, UndersizedWestern Michigan Univ.NCAAMIN#102, 202541.75−3%28%9%2%AHLer
9Matyas MelovskyC, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyUtica CometsAHLNJD#171, 202440.75+23%37%3%<1%AHLer
10Nathan BehmR, 19. Young for the league, SteadyArizona State Univ.NCAACHI#66, 202560.67−3%25%10%3%AHLer
11Nathan VilleneuveC, 20. Edgy, Young for the leagueCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#63, 202450.00−19%26%8%2%AHLer
12Dmitri IsayevL, 19. Undersized, SteadyAvto YekaterinburgMHLOTT#149, 2025161.13+2%30%7%5%AHLer
13Riley HeidtC, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyIowa WildAHLMIN#64, 202370.43+29%30%4%<1%AHLer
14Herman TraffR, 20. Young for the league, HeavySan Diego GullsAHLANA#91, 202450.20+9%30%5%1%AHLer
15Carey TerranceC, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#59, 202320.00+28%38%2%<1%AHLer
16Aiden FinkR, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#218, 202330.33+16%34%5%<1%AHLer
17Louis Felix BourqueR, 18. Carrying a team, HeavyDrummondville VoltigeursQMJHLOTT#91, 202670.71+41%25%8%3%AHLer
18Kevin HeL, 20. Young for the league, SteadyManitoba MooseAHLWPG#109, 202460.83−24%28%7%1%AHLer
19Dans LocmelisC, 22. Carrying a team, EdgyProvidence BruinsAHLBOS#119, 202270.43+28%28%2%2%AHLer
20Florian XhekajL, 22. Steady, HonestLaval RocketAHLMTL#101, 2023640.45034%2%<1%AHLer
21Samuel SavoieL, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#81, 202250.00+36%29%4%<1%AHLer
22Ethan ProcyszynC, 20. Young for the league, SteadySan Diego GullsAHLANA#68, 202470.14+9%28%4%2%AHLer
23Eric PohlkampD, 22. Steady, HonestSan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#132, 202360.83−4%28%3%<1%AHLer
24Viktor FedorovC, 18. Young for the league, SteadyTorpedo Nizhny NovgorodKHLSEA#99, 2026140.21021%8%4%AHLer
25Ryder RitchieR, 20. Steady, HonestBoston Univ.NCAAMIN#45, 202430.67−9%34%2%1%AHLer
26Jaroslav ChmelarR, 23. Carrying a team, Volume shooterHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#144, 202120.50+32%29%1%<1%AHLer
27Sean BehrensD, 23. Steady, HonestColorado EaglesAHLCOL#61, 202160.33+8%29%4%<1%AHLer
28Ben MacBeathD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyUniv. of DenverNCAANYR#64, 202640.25−1%24%5%2%AHLer
29Topias VilenD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyUtica CometsAHLNJD#129, 202140.75+23%31%3%<1%AHLer
30Cam SquiresR, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyUtica CometsAHLNJD#122, 202330.00+23%28%2%<1%AHLer
31Artem GoncharD, 19. Steady, HonestSudbury WolvesOHLNYR#89, 202580.63−19%30%4%2%AHLer
32Maxim MasséR, 20. Steady, HonestUniv. of MassachusettsNCAAANA#66, 202460.67−1%21%6%3%AHLer
33Shane LachanceL, 23. Carrying a team, Big frameUtica CometsAHLNJD#186, 202140.25+25%32%2%<1%AHLer
34Aleksi HeimosalmiD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyChicago WolvesAHLCAR#44, 202160.17+44%34%2%<1%AHLer
35Jayden PerronR, 21. Sniper, UndersizedUniv. of MichiganNCAACAR#94, 202362.50−5%24%3%1%AHLer
36Cole KnubleR, 22. Steady, HonestLehigh Valley PhantomsAHLPHI#103, 202360.67−10%24%3%<1%AHLer
37Colin RalphD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#48, 202460.00+22%39%2%<1%AHLer
38Eric NilsonC, 19. Young for the league, SteadyMichigan State Univ.NCAAANA#45, 202531.67−8%34%<1%<1%AHLer
39Jack PeartD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyIowa WildAHLMIN#54, 202170.43+24%35%1%<1%AHLer
40Danil ZhilkinC, 22. Steady, HonestManitoba MooseAHLWPG#77, 202260.83+3%25%4%<1%AHLer
41Jakub StanclC, 21. Carrying a team, HeavySpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#106, 202360.33+27%30%2%<1%AHLer
42Mattias HavelidD, 22. Steady, HonestSan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#45, 202250.00−5%34%<1%<1%AHLer
43Mikhail FyodorovR, 19. Young for the league, SteadyMetallurg MagnitogorskKHLSTL#147, 2025160.25+3%19%7%3%AHLer
44Bryce McConnell-BarkerC, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#97, 202250.20+32%23%2%<1%AHLer
45Joey WillisC, 21. Carrying a team, Volume shooterMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#111, 202310.00+10%27%2%<1%AHLer
46Miguel MarquesR, 20. Steady, HonestNortheastern Univ.NCAANSH#87, 202431.67+10%24%3%1%AHLer
47Filip ErikssonC, 21. Steady, HonestLuleå HFSHLMTL#165, 2023100.50+13%18%8%2%AHLer
48Luke SchairerD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyBoston CollegeNCAASTL#75, 202620.00−7%31%2%<1%AHLer
49Cam AllenD, 21. Steady, HonestHershey BearsAHLWSH#136, 202351.00+2%28%2%<1%AHLer?
50Christopher PelosiC, 21. Steady, HonestQuinnipiac Univ.NCAABOS#92, 202351.00+10%21%2%<1%AHLer
51Finn HardingD, 21. Heavy, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#223, 202450.20−24%26%3%<1%AHLer
52Conrad FondrkC, 19. Young for the league, SteadyBoston Univ.NCAANJD#50, 202520.00−9%33%1%<1%AHLer?
53Dylan RoobroeckC, 22. Carrying a team, HeavyHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#178, 202370.14+28%24%2%<1%AHLer
54Carson RehkopfL, 21. Heavy, Stacked rosterCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#50, 202360.00−19%28%<1%<1%AHLer
55Caden PriceD, 21. Young for the league, Stacked rosterCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#84, 202340.50−19%28%2%<1%AHLer
56Nathan AspinallL, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#159, 202480.38+32%20%4%2%AHLer
57Martin MisiakR, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#55, 202340.00+36%29%<1%<1%AHLer
58Ludvig JanssonD, 22. Volume shooter, SteadyCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#125, 202210.00+23%27%1%<1%AHLer?
59Marc-Andre GaudetD, 22. Carrying a team, SteadySpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#152, 202240.50+22%23%1%<1%AHLer
60Jordan DumaisR, 22. Undersized, SteadyCleveland MonstersAHLCBJ#96, 202260.17−14%28%2%<1%AHLer
61Jorian DonovanD, 22. Steady, HonestBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#136, 202250.00024%1%<1%AHLer
62Austin BurnevikR, 21. Big frame, SteadyUniv. of MinnesotaNCAAANA#182, 202440.25−1%20%3%<1%AHLer
63Viktor NorringerL, 20. Big frame, SteadyBoston Univ.NCAANSH#127, 202430.33−10%22%3%2%AHLer
64Jakub BrabenecC, 23. Steady, HonestHC Kometa BrnoCZECHIAVGK#102, 2021100.20+12%27%1%<1%AHLer
65Mikhail GulyayevD, 21. Rising, PlaymakerAvangard OmskKHLCOL#31, 2023150.53+3%23%2%2%AHLer
66Chase CheslockD, 21. Heavy, SteadyUniv. of St. ThomasNCAANJD#154, 202321.00+5%24%1%<1%AHLer
67Brody LambR, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#104, 202180.13+28%20%1%<1%AHLer
68Bryce PickfordD, 20. Sniper, Stacked rosterMedicine Hat TigersWHLMTL#81, 2025551.51−21%28%5%<1%AHLer
69Clarke CaswellL, 20. Steady, HonestUniv. of DenverNCAASEA#141, 202441.00−3%21%2%<1%AHLer
70Gleb TrikozovL, 22. Steady, HonestChicago WolvesAHLCAR#60, 2022460.24−2%23%<1%<1%AHLer
71Jayden KurtzD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyChicago SteelUSHLANA#45, 202650.00+11%20%2%<1%AHLer?
72Kaden HammellD, 21. Stacked roster, SteadyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#148, 202360.00−19%26%<1%<1%AHLer
73Kieron WaltonC, 20. Heavy, SteadyPeterborough PetesOHLWPG#187, 2024621.42+4%19%5%<1%AHLer
74Jacob BattagliaR, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#62, 202460.00+28%19%3%<1%AHLer
75Linus ErikssonC, 20. Rising, SteadyTimrå IKSHLFLA#58, 2024100.50+13%20%1%<1%AHLer
76Aron KiviharjuD, 20. Undersized, SteadyHIFKLIIGAMIN#122, 202470.57+4%21%3%<1%AHLer
77Rasmus KumpulainenC, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueIowa WildAHLMIN#53, 202320.00+24%19%1%<1%AHLer
78Ben KevanR, 19. Steady, HonestArizona State Univ.NCAANJD#63, 202550.60−1%17%2%<1%AHLer
79Jiri FelcmanC, 21. Carrying a team, Big frameRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#93, 202360.67+40%16%4%1%AHLer
80Emil PieniniemiD, 21. Steady, HonestWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLFLA#91, 202390.33−4%24%2%<1%AHLer?
81Oscar HolmertzC, 18. Young for the league, SteadyBIK KarlskogaALLSVENSKANOTT#87, 2026120.25+12%12%5%2%AHLer?
82Patrick ThomasC, 22. Steady, HonestHershey BearsAHLWSH#104, 202370.43+3%19%3%<1%AHLer?
83Hunter St. MartinL, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#193, 202460.17+27%22%<1%<1%AHLer
84Chase PietilaD, 22. Edgy, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#111, 202450.40−24%19%1%<1%AHLer
85Ollie JosephsonC, 20. Steady, HonestUniv. of North DakotaNCAASEA#105, 202440.00+1%21%1%<1%AHLer
86Jake FurlongD, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#140, 202250.00+36%22%<1%<1%AHLer
87Tyler ThorpeR, 21. Edgy, Young for the leagueLaval RocketAHLMTL#130, 202420.00−27%14%<1%<1%AHLer
88Daniil OrlovD, 22. Steady, HonestSpartak MoskvaKHLNJD#110, 2022140.50+8%17%3%1%AHLer
89Travis HayesR, 19. Steady, HonestSoo GreyhoundsOHLPIT#105, 2025110.73+6%18%2%<1%AHLer
90Eriks MateikoL, 20. Young for the league, HeavyHershey BearsAHLWSH#90, 202460.33+3%22%1%<1%AHLer
91Hoyt StanleyD, 21. Heavy, SteadyBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#108, 202350.40023%1%<1%AHLer
92Michael BuchingerD, 22. Carrying a team, SteadySpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#88, 202250.20+27%15%<1%<1%AHLer
93Oskar PetterssonR, 22. Heavy, SteadyBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#72, 202270.14+3%17%<1%<1%AHLer
94Spencer BowesL, 18. Carrying a team, Volume shooterOttawa 67'sOHLNYR#102, 2026101.20+11%18%1%<1%AHLer
95Peyton KettlesD, 19. Edgy, Big frameKelowna RocketsWHLPIT#39, 202590.44−4%19%<1%<1%AHLer?
96Noel FransénD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueChicago WolvesAHLCAR#69, 202460.17+44%18%3%1%AHLer
97Vladislav LukashevichD, 23. Playmaker, SteadyMiami Univ. (Ohio)NCAAFLA#120, 2021330.64+9%24%<1%<1%AHLer?
98Ludwig PerssonL, 22. Steady, HonestHershey BearsAHLWSH#85, 202270.14+3%18%2%<1%AHLer?
99Marek AlscherD, 22. Edgy, HeavyCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#93, 202260.17+23%16%<1%<1%AHLer
100Andrei LoshkoC, 21. Steady, HonestCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#116, 2023510.27−5%17%<1%<1%AHLer

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.